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. 2012 Oct 18;2012:540295. doi: 10.1155/2012/540295

Table 4.

Projected additional male cases of HIV and additional direct medical costsa.

African
American
n = 6399
White
n = 5776
Other
n = 2680
Total
n = 14,855
Baseline prevention fraction (60%)b
Additional HIV cases 48 2 5 55
Additional cost discounted to time of infectionc $18,252,700 $739,100 $1,932,600 $20,924,400
Additional cost discounted to birthd $7,150,000 $294,600 $804,200 $8,248,800

Highest prevention fraction (80%)b
Additional HIV cases 85 4 8 97
Additional cost discounted to time of infectionc $31,942,200 $1,612,600 $2,989,000 $36,543,800
Additional cost discounted to birthd $12,512,400 $642,700 $1,206,300 $14,361,400

Lowest prevention fraction (39%)b
Additional HIV cases 24 1 3 28
Additional cost discounted to time of infectionc $9,126,300 $336,000 $966,300 $10,428,600
Additional cost discounted to birthd $3,575,000 $133,900 $402,100 $4,111,000

aPer South Carolina Medicaid birth year cohort.

bPrevention fraction (1-relative risk) of male circumcision for reducing HIV transmission through heterosexual contact.

cUsing Schackman et al's discounted lifetime HIV treatment cost of $303,100 (in $US2004) inflated to $US2010 for a lifetime treatment cost of $377,360.

dTo allow for direct comparison to circumcision savings in the cohort birth year.