Table 3.
Sensitivity analysis: predicted outcomes and resource use over 10 years, per 1000 women treated if perfect compliance with recommendations is assumed
Recommended strategy | Cytology only follow-up | HPV test of cure—sentinel sites protocol | HPV test of cure—extended follow-up protocol |
---|---|---|---|
Health outcomes | |||
Residual underlying cases of CIN3+ at 10 years | 6.3 | 11.9 | 11.5 |
Residual underlying cases of CIN3+ averted compared with current practice | — | −5.6 (additional cases) |
−5.1 (additional cases) |
Costs | |||
Discounted at 3.5% per year | £521 634 | £388 108 | £483 256 |
CIN=cervical intraepithelial neoplasia; HPV=human papillomavirus.