Table 2.

General linear models of relationships among genetic and environmental predictors and response variable ‘growth’, a fitness proxy of Swietenia macrophylla. Analyses conducted for both isolated and forest landscape context samples grouped to include all samples, samples from only mesic and dry provenances (% DE, percent deviance explained by model i; wAIC, AIC weights shows the relative likelihood of model i; ΔAIC_c, difference between model AIC and minimum AIC in the set of models; AIC_c, Akaike’s Information Criterion corrected for small samples sizes; k, number of parameters in the given model; ß, unstandardised regression slopes and standard errors for each predictor variable in models with ΔAIC_c < 4; t_m, outcrossing rate; t_m − t_s, biparental inbreeding; r_p, correlated paternity; PC_ENV, first component of principal component analysis of environmental variables; 1, null model)

Model	% DE	wAIC	ΔAICc	AICc	k	ß (m3)
All families
growth ∼ tm	18.00	0.43	0.00	− 436.70	3	0.052 (0.013)
growth ∼ rp	16.92	0.27	0.93	− 435.77	3	− 0.024 (0.007)
growth ∼ tm + PCENV	23.57	0.18	1.75	− 434.95	6	tm = 0.042 (0.014);PCENV = 0.003 (0.001)
growth ∼ tm − ts	12.93	0.05	4.26	− 432.44	3
growth ∼ rp + PCENV	20.32	0.04	4.71	− 431.98	6
growth ∼ tm − ts + PCENV	18.31	0.02	6.48	− 430.22	6
growth ∼ PCENV	13.39	0.01	8.31	− 428.39	5
growth ∼ 1	0.00	0.00	11.97	− 424.72	2
Mesic provenance
growth ∼ tm	22.91	0.46	0.00	− 215.11	3	0.048 (0.015)
growth ∼ rp	18.88	0.18	1.83	− 213.27	3	− 0.029 (0.010)
growth ∼ tm + PCENV	33.46	0.14	2.39	− 212.72	6	tm = 0.035 (0.015);PCENV = 0.014 (0.006)
growth ∼ tm − ts	15.57	0.09	3.27	− 211.83	3	− 0.034 (0.014)
growth ∼ PCENV	22.99	0.04	4.92	− 210.19	5
growth ∼ rp + PCENV	28.51	0.04	4.98	− 210.13	6
growth ∼ tm − ts + PCENV	27.72	0.03	5.37	− 209.74	6
growth ∼ 1	0.00	0.01	7.11	− 208.00	2
Dry provenance
growth ∼ rp	9.92	0.50	0.00	− 223.17	3	− 0.016 (0.008)
growth ∼ 1	0.00	0.25	1.41	− 221.76	2
growth ∼ PCENV	5.89	0.12	2.90	− 220.27	3
growth ∼ rp + PCENV	9.92	0.09	3.51	− 219.66	3
growth ∼ tm − ts	2.13	0.02	6.46	− 216.71	5
growth ∼ tm	0.42	0.01	7.63	− 215.54	6
growth ∼ tm − ts + PCENV	6.07	0.01	9.10	− 214.07	6
growth ∼ tm + PCENV	6.04	0.01	9.11	− 214.06	6