Table 2.
Area | Linear model | Threshold model | Spline model | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ozone range (μg/m3) | Ozone threshold [μg/m3 (95% CI)] | Percent (95% CI)c | ΔAICd | Linearity p-valuee | ΔAICd | |||||||||||
Percent (95% CI)a | AIb | |||||||||||||||
Urban | ||||||||||||||||
Liverpool | 0.72 (0.19, 1.26) | 17,553 | 3.0–142.0 | 6 (3, 122) | 0.73 (0.19, 1.27) | 5.9 | 0.08 | –0.9 | ||||||||
London | 0.38 (0.22, 0.55) | 39,427 | 1.7–178.2 | 65 (58, 83) | 1.33 (0.80, 1.86) | –23.8 | 0.00 | –20.6 | ||||||||
Manchester | 0.68 (0.28, 1.07) | 25,055 | 1.6–148 | 6 (1, 23) | 0.68 (0.29, 1.07) | 6.0 | 0.06 | –1.5 | ||||||||
Tyneside | 0.50 (–0.02, 1.02) | 21,749 | 2.0–154.5 | 2 (2, 155) | 0.50 (–0.02, 1.02) | 6.0 | 0.51 | 3.7 | ||||||||
West Midlands | 0.55 (0.30, 0.80) | 34,444 | 2.4–173.2 | 2 (2, 27) | 0.55 (0.30, 0.80) | 6.0 | 0.11 | –0.1 | ||||||||
Summary estimate | 0.48 (0.35, 0.60) | |||||||||||||||
Rural | ||||||||||||||||
Aston Hill | 0.42 (–0.19, 1.03) | 23,626 | 6–209.5 | 88 (6, 134) | 1.31 (0.22, 2.41) | 2.3 | 0.29 | 2.2 | ||||||||
Harwell | 0.54 (0.13, 0.94) | 26,083 | 2–193 | 12 (2, 119) | 0.55 (0.14, 0.96) | 5.8 | 0.17 | 0.9 | ||||||||
High Muffles | 0.29 (–0.36, 0.94) | 23,384 | 2.5–185.5 | 181 (2, 186) | NAf | 5.5 | 0.09 | –0.5 | ||||||||
Ladybower | 0.86 (0.41, 1.31) | 25,971 | 3–187.5 | 3 (3, 66) | 0.86 (0.41, 1.31) | 6.0 | 0.85 | 5.2 | ||||||||
Yarner Wood | 0.59 (0.04, 1.15) | 24,074 | 2.5–220 | 2 (2, 219) | 0.59 (0.04, 1.15) | 6.0 | 0.06 | –1.4 | ||||||||
Summary estimate | 0.58 (0.36, 0.81) | |||||||||||||||
aPercent increase in daily all-cause mortality per 10-µg/m3 increase in maximum 8-hr ozone concentrations on the current day and previous day. bAIC for models including linear term for ozone. cPercent increase in daily all-cause mortality per 10-µg/m3 increase above threshold in maximum 8-hr ozone concentrations on the current day and previous day. dChange in AIC from linear model (negative indicates better fit than linear). ep-Value test for departure from linearity. fInsufficient data to estimate coefficient above threshold. |