Table 2.
Marginal log-likelihood values, log Bayes factor and ranks of continental and Amazon-scale gene flow network models
| Scale | Model (N parameters) | Marginal log-likelihood | Log Bayes factor | Posterior probability | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Continent | Stepping-stone 1 (15) | −692.40 | 0.00 | 0.99 | 1 |
| Stepping-stone 2 (13) | −709.19 | −33.58 | 10−8 | 2 | |
| Full migration (25) | −714.40 | −44.00 | 10−10 | 3 | |
| Panmixia (1) | −725.38 | −65.96 | 10−15 | 4 | |
| Isolation (5) | −947.11 | −509.42 | 0.00 | 5 | |
| Amazon | Full migration (16) | −548.71 | 0.00 | 0.94 | 1 |
| Panmixia (1) | −551.59 | −5.76 | 0.05 | 2 | |
| Stepping-stone (10) | −574.02 | −50.62 | 10−12 | 3 | |
| Isolation (4) | −657.24 | −217.06 | 10−48 | 4 |