Table 3.

Summary of prediction accuracy for the last 12 months of the time series for Model II across the 12 districts

District	Predicted Cases	Reported Cases	Delta	% Difference
Bati	3149	2697	452	16.8
Ankasha Guagusa	13711	12805	906	7.1
Fagita Lekoma	2310	2199	111	5.0
Merhabete	1226	1193	33	2.8
Worebabu	1228	1217	11	0.9
Meket	1050	1057	−7	−0.7
Artuma Fursi	4695	5142	−447	−8.7
Berehet	1576	1739	−163	−9.4
Dembecha	3266	3649	−383	−10.5
Libokemkem	35062	41371	−6309	−15.2
South Achefer	8654	10260	−1606	−15.7
Mecha	28614	38707	−10093	−26.1