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. 2012 Sep 22;13:183. doi: 10.1186/1471-2474-13-183

Table 3.

Factors associated with non-success (SBI ≥ 7) at 1 and 2 years. ORs with p <; 0.10 are initalicsin the univariate analyses

 
1 year n = 409
2 years n = 376
 
Univariate
Multivariate
Univariate
Multivariate
  OR 95% CI OR 95% CI p OR 95% CI OR 95% CI p
Sociodemographic variables
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Age
1.03
(1.01 − 1.04)
1.02
(1.00 − 1.04)
0.078
1.02
(1.00 − 1.04)
1.02
(1.00  1.04)
0.150
Male sex (ref female)
0.80
(0.54  1.19)
1.13
(0.71 − 1.82)
0.606
1.06
(0.70  1.60)
1.36
(0.83  2.22)
0.218
Smoking (ref nonsmoking)
1.57
(1.06 − 2.34)
 
 
 
1.62
(1.07 − 2.46)
1.69
(1.06  2.68)
0.028
Education, years (continuous)
0.99
(0.92  1.05)
 
 
 
0.94
(0.88 − 1.01)
 
 
 
Partly sick leave (ref working)
1.00
(0.48  2.09)
 
 
 
0.83
(0.38  1.82)
 
 
 
Complete sick leave, rehabilitation (ref working)
1.32
(0.79  2.21)
 
 
 
1.20
(0.70  2.07)
 
 
 
Disability pension (ref working)
2.24
(0.94 − 5.34)
 
 
 
1.39
(0.56  3.44)
 
 
 
Other (ref working)
1.11
(0.54  2.28)
 
 
 
0.92
(0.43  2.00)
 
 
 
Back pain/sciatica history
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Previous sciatica episodes >; 0 (ref 0)
1.47
(0.99 − 2.17)
 
 
 
1.00
(0.67  1.51)
 
 
 
Duration back problems ≥ 1 years (ref <;1 year)
1.97
(1.27 − 3.06)
 
 
 
1.84
(1.16 − 2.93)
 
 
 
Duration current sciatica episode ≥ 3 mos. (ref <; 3 mos.)
1.01
(0.68  1.49)
 
 
 
1.14
(0.75  1.72)
 
 
 
Self-reported health status
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Maine-Seattle Back Questionnaire (continuous)
1.10
(1.02 − 1.19)
 
 
 
1.12
(1.03 − 1.22)
 
 
 
Pain intensity* back (continuous)
1.02
(1.01 − 1.02)
1.02
(1.01  1.03)
<;0.001
1.02
(1.01 − 1.02)
1.02
(1.01  1.03)
<;0.001
Pain intensity* leg (continuous)
1.01
(1.00  1.01)
 
 
 
1.00
(0.99  1.01)
 
 
 
Sciatica Bothersomeness Index (continuous)
1.09
(1.05 − 1.14)
1.06
(1.00  1.12)
0.037
1.07
(1.03 − 1.12)
1.03
(0.97  1.09)
0.346
Subjective health complaints (continuous)
1.12
(1.07 − 1.18)
1.10
(1.04  1.16)
0.001
1.09
(1.04 − 1.15)
1.07
(1.01  1.13)
0.033
Kinesiophobia† (continuous)
1.03
(1.00 − 1.06)
 
 
 
1.02
(0.99  1.06)
 
 
 
Emotional distress‡ (continuous)
1.93
(1.22 − 3.05)
 
 
 
1.88
(1.15 − 3.07)
 
 
 
Clinical finding
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Muscular weakness (ref no weakness)
1.93
(1.30 − 2.88)
1.70
(1.07  2.72)
0.026
1.96
(1.29 − 2.97)
1.94
(1.19  3.15)
0.008
Reflex reduced or absent (ref normal reflexes)
1.09
(0.74  1.61)
 
 
 
1.33
(0.88  2.01)
 
 
 
Sensory loss (ref intact sensibility)
1.85
(1.24 − 2.76)
 
 
 
1.69
(1.11 − 2.58)
 
 
 
Straight-leg-raising test <; 60° (ref >; 60°)
1.13
(0.76  1.68)
 
 
 
1.05
(0.69  1.58)
 
 
 
No surgery (ref surgery) 2.78 (1.76 − 4.37) 3.81 (2.23  6.50) <;0.001 1.80 (1.14 − 2.83) 2.25 (1.32  3.81) 0.003

Multivariate analyses are adjusted for age, sex, and baseline SBI. The variable no surgery/surgery was added to the final model. In the multivariable analyses, significant variables, adjusted variables and the variable no surgery/surgery are presented

*Visual analogue scale; †Tampa Scale for Kinesiophobia; ‡ Hopkins Symptom Check List-25