Table 4.

Logistic regression estimates, predicting first marriage following violent and political events

	Model 6	Model 7	Model 8	Model 9	Model 10
Conflict Events
Gun battles		1.29***			1.27***
(no. per month)		(3.77)			(3.64)
Political events			1.28***		1.22**
(no. per month)			(3.24)		(2.46)
Ceasefires				0.43***	0.46***
				(5.43)	(4.84)
Controls: Individual Characteristics
Age	1.13***	1.13***	1.13***	1.13***	1.13***
	(6.61)	(6.61)	(6.59)	(6.58)	(6.56)
Gender (female)	2.01***	2.01***	2.01***	2.00***	2.00***
	(8.06)	(8.06)	(8.02)	(8.02)	(7.99)
Education	1.02	1.02^	1.02	1.02	1.02
	(1.03)	(1.00)	(0.99)	(1.01)	(0.99)
Community services	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.98
	(0.42)	(0.42)	(0.43)	(0.42)	(0.42)
Ethnicitya
Dalit	1.12	1.12	1.12	1.12	1.12
	(0.64)	(0.64)	(0.64)	(0.64)	(0.64)
Hill indigenous	1.24†	1.24†	1.24†	1.24†	1.24†
	(1.43)	(1.43)	(1.43)	(1.42)	(1.42)
Terai indigenous	0.94	0.94	0.94	0.94	0.94
	(0.35)	(0.36)	(0.35)	(0.34)	(0.35)
Newar	0.78†	0.78†	0.78†	0.78†	0.78†
	(1.33)	(1.33)	(1.32)	(1.30)	(1.30)
Parental Characteristics
Education	0.94***	0.94***	0.94***	0.94***	0.94***
	(4.93)	(4.92)	(4.93)	(4.90)	(4.89)
Age at marriage	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00
	(0.06)	(0.07)	(0.04)	(0.07)	(0.06)
No. of children	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.00
	(0.10)	(0.09)	(0.12)	(0.10)	(0.11)
Year	1.26***	1.32***	1.22**	1.18***	1.32***
	(3.46)	(4.00)	(2.63)	(4.00)	(3.87)
Year Squared	0.99†	0.98**	0.99	1.18†	0.98**
	(1.43)	(2.33)	(0.95)	(1.59)	(2.16)
Deviance	6,415	6,406	6,408	6,385	6,372
No. of Observations (person-months)	53,701	53,701	53,701	53,701	53,701

Notes: Estimates are presented as odds ratios. Z statistics are given in parentheses.

^aReference category is Brahmin-Chhetri.

^†p < .10

^*p <. 05

^**p < .01

^***p < .001 (one-tailed tests for all measures)