Figure 4. Estimation output for the 2001 UK outbreak (Darlington cluster).
Top left: posterior probabilities of transmissions (dot sizes proportional to probabilities). Top right: tree with the highest posterior probability mapped in space (black arrows). Bottom: posterior distributions (histograms) of mean latency duration (; left) and mean transmission distance (
; right); dotted-dashed curves: prior distributions; solid lines: posterior medians; dotted lines: posterior quantiles 0.025 and 0.975.