Measured critical warming (red circles) and cooling rates (blue diamonds) [6,13,53,57,58], predicted critical warming rates from previous data (yellow squares) [16], our modeled critical warming rates using the experimental cooling rate at each data point (green squares), our modeled lower bound on the critical warming rates (assuming warming from an ice-free state) (red line), and our modeled critical cooling rates (blue line). CCR of water (diamond) [18,37] shown for reference.