Figure 5. The mean annual densities of Apapane at mid-elevation as a function of larval carrying capacity and density of infectious mosquitoes.

The bottom graph shows the percentage of Apapane in the susceptible (S, dotted line) and recovered stage (R, solid line) as a function of the density of infectious mosquitoes for different climate scenarios. The dashed line represents a climate with a mean annual temperature of 17°C and an average yearly rainfall of 3000 mm. The other climate scenarios are derived from this scenario by increasing or decreasing the daily temperatures and rainfall (see text). The mean annual temperatures and average yearly amounts of rainfall for these scenarios are 15.5°C and 3000 mm (t−), 18.5°C and 3000 mm (t+), 17°C and 2000 mm (r−) and 17°C and 4000 mm (r+). The markers in the two bottom figures indicate values for the biocomplexity field sites: circle = Waiakea, diamond = Cooper, square = Crater and triangle = Pu'u.