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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 Nov 21.
Published in final edited form as: Stat Commun Infect Dis. 2011 Oct;3(1):1037. doi: 10.2202/1948-4690.1037

Table 1.

Approaches to Group Sequential Monitoring of HIV Vaccine Efficacy in Past Efficacy Trials.

Efficacy Trial Monitoring Type Number and Timing of Interim Analyses Null and Alternative Hypotheses Alpha level Boundary Type
Vax004
Phase 3
1998-2003
Efficacy 1; when 50% infections expected H0: VE ≤ 30% vs.
H1: VE > 30%
0.025 O'Brien-Fleming
Vax003
Phase 3
1999-2003
Efficacy 1; when 50% infections expected H0: VE ≤ 30% vs.
H1: VE > 30%
0.025 O'Brien-Fleming
Step/HVTN 502
Phase 2b
2004-2007
Non-efficacy 1; 30 PP infections1 H0: VE ≤ 0% vs.
H1: VE > 60%
0.05 Conditional Power < 20%
Efficacy 1; 30 PP infections H0: VE ≤ 0% vs.
H1: VE > 0%
0.05 Custom
Phambili/HVTN 503
Phase 2b
2005-2007
Non-efficacy 1; 60 PP infections H0: VE ≤ 50% vs.
H1: VE > 50%
N/A Conditional Power < 20%
Efficacy 1; 60 PP infections H0: VE ≤ 0% vs.
H1: VE > 0%
0.05 Custom
RV144
Phase 2b
2004-2009
Harm Monthly H0: VE ≥ 0% vs.
H1: VE < 0%
0.05 Pocock-type2
Non-efficacy 8; every 6 to 12 months H0: VE ≤ 0% vs.
H1: VE > 50%
N/A Conditional Power < 10%
Efficacy 1; 2/3 of follow-up information H0: VE ≤ 30% vs.
H1: VE > 30%
0.025 O'Brien-Fleming
1

Per-protocol (PP) infections are those diagnosed after the Week 12 visit in volunteers HIV negative at baseline and who received the first two doses of either vaccine or placebo, excluding those who were either diagnosed with HIV infection before or at the Week 12 visit or who violated the protocol on the basis of pre-defined criteria (Buchbinder et al., 2008). The interim analysis was triggered by the 30th PP infection in the primary analysis group of subjects with Adenovirus-5 neutralization titers ≤ 200.

2

Continuous stopping boundary of Betensky (1998).