Table 2. Future citations of published papers (Model 
and 
) and future papers (Model 
, 
, 
and 
) at the time of prediction as estimated by the annual citations at the time of prediction.
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | Model 6 | |
| Time windows | past, k = 1 | past, k = 10 | w = 1, k = 1 | w = 3, k = 3 | w = 7, k = 7 | w = 10, k = 10 |
| Intercept (SE) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| b (SE) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| R-sq |
|
|
|
|
|
|
LR 
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| # observations |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| # scientists |
|
|
|
|
|
|