a Receiver-Operating Characteristic curve
b Predictive probabilities for adverse event
A, Logistic regression was used to evaluate the cutoff at 8 cm/s of initial tricuspid Em velocity for prediction of adverse events including death, hospitalization, and lung transplantation. This Receiver-Operating Characteristic curve corresponded to a c-index (area under the curve) of 0.83. The cutoff value of 8 cm/s corresponds to a sensitivity of 75% and a specificity of 87%. B, Plot of the relationship between the continuous predictor and the probability of the adverse event is displayed. The circles correspond to the observed outcomes (0 - did not have an adverse event, 1 - adverse event). As the value for tricuspid Em velocity increases, the risk of having an event decreases.