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. 2012 Nov 23;5:10.3402/gha.v5i0.19065. doi: 10.3402/gha.v5i0.19065

Table 3.

Percentage change associated with 1°C decrease in temperature below 25th percentile, 1°C increase in temperature above 75th percentile and 25.4 mm (1 inch) increase in amount of rainfall. 95% confidence intervals are given in the parentheses

Temperature Rainfall


25th percentile 75th percentile Lag 0–13 days Lag 14–29 days Cumulative
All deaths 3 (−5, 13) 0 (−1, 1) 2 (−1, 5) 1 (−1, 4) 3 (0, 7)
Age groups
 0–4 years 3 (−9, 16) 1 (0, 2) 2 (−2, 6) 0 (−3, 4) 2 (3, 8)
 5–49 years 2 (−8, 14) 0 (−1, 1) 2 (−1, 6) 1 (−2, 4) 3 (−1, 8)
 50+ years 9 (−6, 28) 1 (−1, 2) 3 (−2, 8) 3 (−2, 7) 5 (−1, 13)
Gender
 Female −3 (−8, 13) 0 (−1, 2) 5 (1, 8) 2 (−1, 6) 7 (2, 12)
 Male 10 (−1, 22) 0 (−1, 1) 0 (−3, 3) 0 (−3, 4) 0 (−4, 5)
Cause of death
 HIV 2 (−11, 17) 0 (−2, 1) 1 (−3, 5) −1 (−5, 3) 0 (−5, 6)
 NCDs −9 (−22, 6) 1 (0, 3) 6 (1, 12) 6 (1, 11) 12 (5, 20)
 Pneumonia 6 (−21, 11) 1 (−1, 2) 13 (7, 19) 10 (5, 15) 24 (16, 33)
 Acute 13 (−2, 30) 1 (−1, 2) −2 (−7, 2) 0 (−4, 4) −2 (−8, 4)
 Other 1 (−11, 14) 0 (−1, 2) 2 (−2, 6) 1 (−3, 4) 2 (−3, 8)