Table 2.
Regression coefficients and odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals as derived from the original model and the internally validated model
|
Original model |
Model after internal validation |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Variable | Regression coefficient | Odds ratio (95% CI) | p-value | Regression coefficient* | Odds ratio (95% CI) |
Intercept |
-0.32 |
- |
- |
-0.23 |
- |
Elevated sIL-2R levels |
1.98 |
7.27 (1.86 – 28.40) |
0.004 |
1.85 |
6.33 (1.73-28.17) |
Total HRCT score |
0.24 |
1.27 (1.06 - 1.52) |
0.011 |
0.22 |
1.25 (1.04-1.50) |
To calculate the absolute risk of a positive PET result: P(PET-positive) = (1 / (1 + exp(-(-0.23 + 1.85 * sIL-2R + 0.22 * HRCT score)))) * 100% |
CI: confidence interval; sIL-2R: soluble interleukin-2 Receptor; HRCT: high-resolution computed tomography; PET: positron emission tomography.
* Regression coefficients after adjustment for overfitting by shrinkage (shrinkage factor = 0.93); the intercept was re-estimated.