Table 5. Summary estimates of the fraction of infections prevented in the wider population, when interventions were focused on FSWs, in the absence of risk compensation.
| Median prevented fraction (range, Ns), HIV prevalence ≤5% | ||
| Time-horizon for outcome assessment ≤5 years | Time-horizon for outcome assessment >5 years | |
| Intervention efficacy≥60%* | 20.5% (7 to 43, Ns = 12α) [24], [30] | 59.0% (40 to 100, Ns = 47αγ) [27], [30], [31] |
Population in which the outcome was measured includes: αlow-risk females; βgeneral population (excludes high-risk groups); γtotal population (includes high-risk groups); ωante-natal clinic attendees.STI (sexually transmitted infection). Ns refers to the number of simulated scenarios. Summary estimates reflect the median and range if ≥5 scenarios across at least 2 studies were available within each category. Estimates were grouped across intervention-related characteristics. *Efficacy in reducing HIV susceptibility per sex act (or transmission probability if intervention effect on HIV susceptibility was not differentiated from intervention effect on HIV infectivity). FSW (female sex worker).