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. 2012 Nov 30;7(11):e51192. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0051192

Table 1. Sexual behavior and expected HIV-1 transmissions in one year, stratified by CD4 count and plasma viral load.

Expected transmissions in 1 year in a population of 100,000**
Sex acts per month Condom use ***
CD4 cells/µL Plasma viral load, copies/mL n (%) mean (SD) % protected Reported Half None
350–499 <10,000 455 (18.3) 5.9 (6.6) 77.6 292 (8.9) 466 (9.0) 637 (9.2)
10,000–49,999 318 (12.8) 6.6 (8.9) 75.5 571 (17.3) 887 (17.1) 1,180 (17.0)
≥50,000 266 (10.7) 5.2 (5.0) 75.7 771 (23.4) 1,218 (23.5) 1,618 (23.3)
≥500 <10,000 853 (34.3) 6.2 (7.4) 78.5 504 (15.3) 819 (15.8) 1,126 (16.2)
10,000–49,999 367 (14.8) 5.4 (6.1) 75.1 538 (16.3) 840 (16.2) 1,127 (16.2)
≥50,000 225 (9.1) 5.3 (6.5) 77.4 621 (18.8) 962 (18.5) 1,271 (18.3)
Totals 3347 (100) 3297 (100) 5193 (100) 6958 (100)
**

Data were weighted 100,000/2484 to estimate transmissions in a population of 100,000; The estimated per-act infectivity without a condom was 0.00094 for a person with viral load of 10,000 copies/mL and 0.00178 for a person with viral load of 50,000 copies/mL [9].

***

Reported  =  as reported in the Partners in Prevention HSV/HIV Transmission Study (77% of acts were reported protected), half  =  half the reported frequency of condom use in Partners in Prevention HSV/HIV Transmission Study, none  =  no condom use.