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. 2012 Nov 30;7(11):e50410. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0050410

Table 1. Changes in simulated paramaters, 2010 and 2035.

2010 2035 increase rate
The number of physicians per 1,000 population 2·00 3·14 57%
The number of populations 127,176,445 110,679,406 −13%
The total number of physicians 271,897 397,290 46%
The number of physicians aged 75 years or younger 254,126 347,103 37%
The number of physicians aged 75 years or older 17,771 50,187 182%
The number of physicians aged 60 years or younger 216,522 255,579 18%
The number of physicians aged 60 years or older 55,375 141,711 155%
The number of male physicians 222,784 297,483 34%
The number of female physicians 49,113 99,807 103%
practicing physicians' working hours per 1,000 population
no limitation/current working hours 139·2 209·8 51%
limited to 60 hours/week 178·2 28%
limited to 48 hours/week 147·7 6%
The total number of fatalities for consecutive five years 5,881,151 8,336,263 42%
The number of fatalities for 75 years or older 3,529,540 6,650,448 88%
The number of fatalities for 74 years or younger 2,351,611 1,685,815 −28%
The number of fatalities per practicing physician 23·1 24·0 4%
fatalities per practicing physician for 75 years or older 13·9 19·2 38%
fatalities per practicing physician for 74 years or younger 9·2 4·8 −48%
The number of fatalities per practicing physician working hour
no limitation/current working hours 0·128 0·138 8%
limited to 60 hours/week 0·162 27%
limited to 48 hours/week 0·196 53%