Table 2– Risk of progression to tuberculosis (TB) within 2 yrs for QuantiFERON®-TB Gold In-Tube (QFT-GIT)-positive and -negative subjects.
Case source cohort n | TB within 2 yrs# n | Incidence of TB within 2 yrs per 100000 population | Expected QFT-GIT positivity at entry¶ n (%) | Estimated risk of progression to TB per 100000 population+ (95% credibility interval) | ||
QFT-GIT positive | QFT-GIT negative | |||||
Total | 26317 | 30 | 114 | 5306 (20) | 467 (314–603) | 25 (0–64) |
Sex | ||||||
Female | 13766 | 15 | 109 | 2619 (19) | 473 (318–611) | 24 (0–60) |
Male | 12504 | 15 | 120 | 2691 (22) | 460 (310–595) | 27 (0–68) |
Age yrs | ||||||
18–24 | 7877 | 6 | 76 | 1048 (13) | 473 (318–611) | 15 (0–39) |
25–34 | 12797 | 16 | 125 | 2913 (23) | 453 (305–586) | 28 (0–72) |
≥35 | 5643 | 8 | 142 | 1339 (24) | 493 (332–638) | 33 (0–83) |
TB incidence in the country of origin cases per 100000 population | ||||||
<100 | 13799 | 12 | 87 | 2208 (16) | 456 (307–589) | 18 (0–46) |
100–199 | 7231 | 12 | 166 | 1708 (24) | 590 (397–762) | 38 (0–97) |
≥200 | 5040 | 6 | 119 | 1278 (25) | 386 (259–499) | 28 (0–71) |
QFT-GIT is manufactured by Cellestis (Carnegie, Australia). #: based on surveillance data from Monitoring for Screening of Immigrants and the Netherlands Tuberculosis Register; ¶: number estimated based on QFT-GIT-positive prevalence in base cohort as presented in table 1; +: based on Bayesian statistics for posterior distribution resulted in a median (95% credibility interval) sensitivity for QFT-GIT of 83% (56–100%).