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. 2012 Apr 10;40(6):1443–1449. doi: 10.1183/09031936.00010612

Table 2– Risk of progression to tuberculosis (TB) within 2 yrs for QuantiFERON®-TB Gold In-Tube (QFT-GIT)-positive and -negative subjects.

Case source cohort n TB within 2 yrs# n Incidence of TB within 2 yrs per 100000 population Expected QFT-GIT positivity at entry n (%) Estimated risk of progression to TB per 100000 population+ (95% credibility interval)
QFT-GIT positive QFT-GIT negative
Total 26317 30 114 5306 (20) 467 (314–603) 25 (0–64)
Sex
 Female 13766 15 109 2619 (19) 473 (318–611) 24 (0–60)
 Male 12504 15 120 2691 (22) 460 (310–595) 27 (0–68)
Age yrs
 18–24 7877 6 76 1048 (13) 473 (318–611) 15 (0–39)
 25–34 12797 16 125 2913 (23) 453 (305–586) 28 (0–72)
 ≥35 5643 8 142 1339 (24) 493 (332–638) 33 (0–83)
TB incidence in the country of origin cases per 100000 population
 <100 13799 12 87 2208 (16) 456 (307–589) 18 (0–46)
 100–199 7231 12 166 1708 (24) 590 (397–762) 38 (0–97)
 ≥200 5040 6 119 1278 (25) 386 (259–499) 28 (0–71)

QFT-GIT is manufactured by Cellestis (Carnegie, Australia). #: based on surveillance data from Monitoring for Screening of Immigrants and the Netherlands Tuberculosis Register; : number estimated based on QFT-GIT-positive prevalence in base cohort as presented in table 1; +: based on Bayesian statistics for posterior distribution resulted in a median (95% credibility interval) sensitivity for QFT-GIT of 83% (56–100%).