Table 4.
Derivation of dengue cases in Malaysia using expansion factors (2009), by sector and setting*
Sector | Hospitalized cases | Ambulatory cases | Overall |
---|---|---|---|
Adjusted EFs (combining mean factors, 58% share ambulatory) | |||
Public | 1.30 | 43.08† | 2.97 |
Private | 2.45 | 178.84† | 5.73 |
Both‡ | 1.65 | 65.38† | 3.79 |
No. reported dengue cases | |||
Public | 27,955 | 1,165 | 29,120 |
Private | 12,105 | 229 | 12,334 |
Total | 40,060 | 1,394 | 41,454 |
Adjusted dengue cases using EFs (58% share ambulatory) | |||
Public | 36,341 | 50,186 | 86,527 |
Private | 29,658 | 40,955 | 70,613 |
Total | 65,999 | 91,141 | 157,140 |
Row % | 42.00 | 58.00 | 100.00 |
EF = expansion factor.
EFs were estimated by comparing the EF adjusted cases and reported cases, assuming that the total ratio of public/private ambulatory cases is the same as this ratio for hospitalized cases. The EFs for ambulatory cases were indirectly derived in two steps. First, we obtained EFs for hospitalized cases in the private and public sectors (second column) and the share of the total cases that were ambulatory (58%) from the Delphi process. Second, we derived EFs for ambulatory cases by dividing the estimate of total ambulatory cases for each sector by the officially reported cases.
The both row and overall column are derived by comparing the projected and reported numbers.