Table 3.
Distribution of generation interval |
Geographic area |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Northern area |
Central area |
Southern area |
||||
3-day serial interval | 4-day serial interval | 3-day serial interval | 4-day serial interval | 3-day serial interval | 4-day serial interval | |
Exponentially-distributed |
1.19 (1.13, 1.24) |
1.25 (1.18, 1.32) |
1.32 (1.27, 1.37) |
1.43 (1.36, 1.50) |
1.58 (1.45, 1.72) |
1.81 (1.62, 2.0) |
Fixed generation interval | 1.19 (1.14, 1.25) | 1.27 (1.19, 1.35) | 1.34 (1.29, 1.40) | 1.48 (1.40, 1.57) | 1.68 (1.50, 1.87) | 1.99 (1.72, 2.30) |
The epidemic growth phase used to estimate the reproduction number consisted of 38 days for the northern area (May 18th to June 24th), 30 days for the central area (May 18th to June 16th) and 18 days for the southern area (May 18th to June 4th).