Skip to main content
. 2012 Nov 13;30(36):4566–4572. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2012.45.2854

Table 3.

Univariate and Multivariate Analysis of Predictors of Overall Survival

Factor No. of Patients 5-Year Overall Survival (%) Median Overall Survival (months) Univariate Analysis
Multivariate Analysis
P HR 95% CI P HR 95% CI
Age, years
    > 60 80 49.7 51.2 .528 1.15 0.74 to 1.75
    ≤ 60 129 54.3 84.7
Primary tumor nodal status
    Positive 126 44.6 49.0 .003 2.01 1.27 to 3.28 .009 2.04 1.25 to 3.46
    Negative 76 65.1 114.2
Extrahepatic disease
    Present 17 49.3 30.1 .196 1.68 0.74 to 3.27
    Absent 192 53.2 84.7
Adjuvant chemotherapy for primary tumor within 1 year of diagnosis of CLM
    Yes 18 37.3 35.4 .079 1.97 0.92 to 3.73 .529
    No 191 53.8 84.7
DFI, years
    < 1 151 50.7 60.1 .556 1.15 0.73 to 1.89
    ≥ 1 58 56.1 90.3
Preoperative chemotherapy regimen
    Oxaliplatin 140 52.6 90.3 .896 0.97 0.63 to 1.52
    Irinotecan 69 51.5 60.1
Bevacizumab
    No 101 48.2 54.3 .232 1.31 0.84 to 2.05
    Yes 108 59.9 NA
No. of tumors
    Multiple 131 37.9 58.1 .208 1.32 0.86 to 2.07
    Solitary 78 58.4 90.3
Size of largest metastasis before surgery, cm
    > 5 38 41.1 44.3 .116 1.51 0.89 to 2.44
    ≤ 5 171 55.6 88.3
Surgical margin
    Positive 17 19.2 44.0 .060 1.93 0.97 to 3.49 .032 2.21 1.08 to 4.14
    Negative 189 55.8 88.3
Adjuvant chemotherapy
    No 49 38.3 44.3 .035 1.65 1.04 to 2.54 .060
    Yes 160 57.1 90.3
RECIST response
    SD or PD 140 47.7 51.0 .055 1.57 0.99 to 2.58 .148
    PR 69 61.7 88.3
Morphologic response
    Suboptimal 146 43.7 49.0 < .001 2.48 1.46 to 4.49 .007 2.09 1.22 to 3.83
    Optimal 63 73.8 114.2

Abbreviations: CLM, colorectal liver metastases; DFI, disease-free interval from diagnosis of primary tumor to diagnosis of liver metastases; HR, hazard ratio; NA, not available; PD, progressive disease; PR, partial response; SD, stable disease.