Table 2. The AIC values of models consisting of the base landscape model plus individual climate variables.

Predictor Variable	AIC
Total Monthly Precipitation @ T – 5	581150
Total Monthly Precipitation @ T – 19	586619
Std. Dev. of Monthly Precipitation @ T – 5	565235
Std. Dev. of Monthly Precipitation @ T – 19	622169
Monthly Maximum Temperature @ T – 5	606872
Monthly Maximum Temperature @ T - 12	611374
Monthly Minimum Temperature @ T – 12	622066
Monthly Minimum Temperature @ T – 18	594909

AIC = Akaike's Information Criterion.

Std. Dev. = Standard Deviation.

The base landscape model consisted of Proportion of Forest and Mean Elevation.

The notation “Predictor variable @ T – [number]” refers to the given variable at the specified number of months prior to BU case incidence.