Table 3.
Aortic aneurysm and dissection trends and Joinpoint Regression Analysisaby cause-of-death, sex and site, State of São Paulo, 1985 to 2009
|
Aortic aneurysm and dissection variables |
Global 1985-2009 |
Trend 1 |
Trend 2 |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ratesb | APC | CI | Years | APC | CI | Years | APC | CI | |
| CAUSES OF DEATH | |||||||||
|
Causes of death (refer to Figure1A) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| All mentions |
6.58 |
2.1c |
1.7 to 2.5 |
1985-2001 |
3.3c |
2.9-to 3.7 |
2001-2009 |
−0.3 |
−1.0 to 0.5 |
| Underlying cause-of-death |
5.53 |
2.0c |
1.6 to 2.3 |
1985-1999 |
3.4c |
3.0 to 3.8 |
1999-2009 |
0.3 |
−0.1 to 0.8 |
| Associated cause-of-death |
1.05 |
2.9c |
1.8 to 4.0 |
1985-2002 |
4.7c |
3.5 to 5.9 |
2002-2009 |
−1.3 |
−4.1 to 1.6 |
|
Causes of death and sex (refer to Figure1B) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Underlying cause-of-death in men |
8.23 |
1.7c |
1.3 to 2.1 |
1985-1999 |
3.2c |
2.7 to 3.7 |
1999-2009 |
−0.1 |
−0.7 to 0.5 |
| Underlying cause-of-death in women |
3.42 |
2.8c |
2.4 to 3.3 |
1985-2000 |
4.1c |
3.2 to 5.0 |
2000-2009 |
1.1 |
−0.1 to 2.3 |
| Associated cause-of-death in men |
1.71 |
2.8c |
1.9 to 3.7 |
1985-2002 |
4.8c |
3.5 to 6.1 |
2002-2009 |
−2.1 |
−5.3 to 1.1 |
| Associated cause-of-death in women |
0.56 |
3.7c |
2.8 to 4.6 |
1985-2009 |
3.7c |
2.8 to 4.6 |
|
|
|
| AORTIC ANEURYSM AND DISSECTION SITES – ALL MENTIONS | |||||||||
|
Total mentions (refer to Figure2A) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Dissecting |
2.09 |
1.3c |
0.8 to 1.8 |
1985-2003 |
2.1c |
1.4 to 2.8 |
2003-2009 |
−2.0 |
−4.5 to 0.6 |
| Abdominal |
1.96 |
2.4c |
1.8 to 3.0 |
1985-2001 |
3.9c |
3.0 to 4.8 |
2001-2009 |
−0.4 |
−2.0 to 1.2 |
| Unspecified site |
1.63 |
1.0c |
0.3 to 1.7 |
1985-1996 |
4.5c |
2.8 to 6.2 |
1996-2009 |
−0.9c |
−1.9 to 0.0 |
| Thoracic |
0.79 |
4.8c |
4.1 to 5.5 |
1985-2009 |
4.8c |
4.1 to 5.5 |
|
|
|
|
Total mentions in men (refer to Figure2B) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Abdominal |
3.55 |
2.4c |
1.8 to 3.0 |
1985-2001 |
4.0c |
3.1 to 4.9 |
2001-2009 |
−0.6 |
−2.2 to 1.1 |
| Dissecting |
2.78 |
0.8c |
0.3 to 1.4 |
1985-2003 |
1.7c |
0.9 to 2.6 |
2003-2009 |
−2.6 |
−5.8 to 0.8 |
| Unspecified site |
2.43 |
0.7c |
0.1 to 1.5 |
1985-1996 |
4.5c |
2.5 to 6.6 |
1996-2009 |
−1.5c |
−2.6 to 0.3 |
| Thoracic |
1.03 |
4.1c |
3.2 to 5.0 |
1985-2009 |
4.1c |
3.2 to 5.0 |
|
|
|
|
Total mentions in women (refer to Figure2C) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Dissecting |
1.51 |
2.0c |
1.4 to 2.6 |
1985-2004 |
2.9c |
2.1 to 3.7 |
2004-2009 |
−2.2 |
−6.0 to 1.9 |
| Unspecified site |
1.01 |
1.9c |
1.2 to 2.6 |
1985-1997 |
4.4c |
2.3 to 6.6 |
1997-2009 |
0.3 |
−1.1 to 1.6 |
| Abdominal |
0.79 |
3.2c |
2.4 to 3.9 |
1985-2009 |
3.2c |
2.4 to 3.9 |
|
|
|
| Thoracic |
0.59 |
5.8c |
5.8 to 6.6 |
1985-2009 |
5.8c |
5.0 to 6.6 |
|
|
|
| REFERENCE OF RUPTURE - ALL MENTIONS (refer to Figure
3) | |||||||||
| Ruptured |
2.65 |
3.1c |
2.1 to 4.1 |
1985-1997 |
8.4c |
6.7 to 10.1 |
1997-2009 |
0.0 |
−0.9 to 1.0 |
| Without rupture | 1.84 | 1.5c | 0.7 to 2.3 | 1985-2009 | 1.5c | 0.7 to 2.2 | |||
APC: Annual percent change; CI: confidence interval.
a Rates are per 100 000 population, age-standardized to the WHO Standard Population.
b Joinpoint analysis of trends allowed for one joinpoint.
c The annual percent change is statistically significantly different from 0 (p < 0.05).