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. 2012 Dec 26;7(12):e52803. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0052803

Table 4. The mode and 90% highest posterior density (in parentheses) of the posterior distributions for the Storz and Beaumont [67] models.

Sample BF Scale N 0 N 1 Time (T)
Historical-SSN 10.9 Exp 154 (1–2160) 1862 (454–7952) 442 (96–25249)
Historical-SSN 13.5 Linear 102 (1–1993) 1922 (457–7838) 1054 (109–61941)
Contemporary-SSN 36.1 Exp 167 (23–838) 1613 (383–7102) 1693 (60–23307)
Contemporary-SSN 65.2 Linear 139 (17–692) 1405 (358–8143) 3134 (160–73610)
Contemporary-NW 41.1 Exp 129 (23–513) 1698 (288–12302) 2884 (162–37153)
Contemporary-NW 45.5 Linear 128 (27–547) 1640 (246–19639) 8549 (373–353012)

The Bayes factor (BF) indicates the strength of evidence for a population decline with values greater than 10 representing very strong support. N 0 and N 1 are the current and ancestral N e respectively. Time (T) represents the date of the change in population size from N 0 to N 1.