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. 2012 Dec 7;10:159. doi: 10.1186/1741-7015-10-159

Table 1.

Contrasting quantitative microbial risk-assessment models and infectious disease-transmission models.

Modeling aspects Quantitative microbial risk-assessment model Dynamic transmission model
Non-linear dynamics Usually no Usually yes

Environmental sources Yes Usually no

Inclusion of uncertainty/stochasticity Yes Case-by-case basis (deterministic dynamical systems, stochastic, hybrid models)

Time scale Days Weeks to months

Population size Thousands (music festival) to millions (Hajj pilgrimage) Hundred thousands to millions

Population density High Low to high

Model structure Spatial-temporal network (Summer Olympics); confined space (Army barracks) Age-structured, random-mixing populations; patch models; household-level models; large-scale individual-level models

Stochastic disease extinction Yes Unlikely

Endemicity No Yes

Contribution of super-spreading events High Low to moderate