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. 2012 Nov 9;12:962. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-12-962

Table 1.

Model parameters

  Mean Distribution Parameter References
Demographic data
Population by age
 
 
 
15
  1--5 years old
6.63%
 
 
 
  6—12 years old
7.17%
 
 
 
  13—19 years old
6.86%
 
 
 
  20—39 years old
36.65%
 
 
 
  40—64 years old
30.46%
 
 
 
  65+ years old
12.24%
 
 
 
Percentage of adult population affected by school closure:
 
 
 
15
  kindergarten (1-5 years old)
4.54%
 
 
 
  kindergarten/primary school (1-11 years old)
10%
 
 
 
Disease parameters
  Basic reproductive number (R0)
1.5, 2.0, 2.5
 
 
31; 32; 8
  Mean duration of exposed period
1.9 days
 
 
17; 18
  Mean duration of infectious period
7 days (<12 years) 5 days (12+ years)
 
 
17; 18; 19
  Proportion asymptomatic (p)
33%
 
 
 
  Infectivity (last exposed stage)
50%
 
 
19
  Infectivity (in the five infectious stages)
100%, 100%, 50%, 30%, 15%
 
 
19;20
Mixing assumptions
Scenario A (baseline)
 
 
 
 
  Reduction in contact rate between dismissed   children of same/other age groups
90%/25%
 
 
 
  Reduction in contact rate among care-taking   parents and same age group
0%
 
 
 
Scenario B
  Reduction in contact rate between dismissed   children of same/other age groups
90%/25%
 
 
 
  Reduction in contact rate among care-taking   parents and same age group
50%
 
 
 
Scenario C
  Reduction in contact rate between dismissed   children of same/other age groups
50%/10%
 
 
 
  Reduction in contact rate among care-taking   parents and same age group
0%
 
 
 
Disease outcomes
Outcomes per 1000 cases by age groupsa
 
 
 
25
  Outpatient
(534, 389, 497)
Uniform
((494-574), (369-410), (487-506))
 
  Inpatient
(4, 8, 29)
 
((1-8), (2-13), (21-37))
 
  Death
(1, 2, 13)
 
((0-2),(0-4),(11-15))
 
Economic parameters
  Cost of energy saving (1000 US$)
1 439
Gammab
α=16; β=90
Oslo Municipality
  Cost of lost learning (1000 US$)
25 797
Gamma
α=16; β=1 612
Bjørknes private school
  Proportion of productivity loss catching up
15%
Uniform
range [0: 30%]
 
  Average cost per self-care person (US$)
43
Normal
σ=3.57
26
  Average cost per out-patient (US$)
59
Normal
σ=4.92
Den norske legeforening
  Average cost per in-patient (US$)
5 211
Normal
σ=434
26
  Average wage per day (US$) 290 Normal σ=24 15

aAge groups were grouped by 1—18 years old, 19—64 years old and 65+years old.

bfx;k,θ=xk1ex/θθkΓk where Γ is the Gamma function.