Table 2.

Disease outcomes given R₀=1.5, 2.0 and 2.5

School closure of 12 weeks	R0=1.5				R0=2.0				R0=2.5
	outp.	inp.	deaths	AR(%)	outp.	inp.	deaths	AR(%)	outp.	inp.	deaths	AR(%)
No intervention	92779	1929	584	37	128932	2738	844	51	146088	3150	983	58
Scenario A (baseline)
K	87388	1846	560	35	123904	2673	825	49	141642	3098	968	56
P	83081	1779	540	33	121245	2638	815	49	140075	3080	962	56
S	85718	1813	550	34	123784	2665	822	49	142328	3101	968	57
K+P	77605	1692	514	31	115823	2566	793	47	135161	3022	945	54
K+P+S	69989	1559	474	29	109800	2477	767	44	130661	2962	927	53
	SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS
	R0=1.5				R0=2.0				R0=2.5
	outp.	inp.	deaths	AR(%)	outp.	inp.	deaths	AR(%)	outp.	inp.	deaths	AR(%)
Scenario B
K	85200	1798	546	34	122669	2645	817	49	140911	3082	963	56
P	79765	1707	519	32	119377	2597	803	48	138986	3056	955	55
S	85718	1813	550	34	123784	2665	822	49	142328	3101	968	57
K+P	71608	1559	475	29	112224	2487	770	45	133028	2975	932	53
K+P+S	64030	1423	434	26	105671	2387	740	43	128221	2910	912	52
Scenario C
K	89954	1885	572	36	126502	2707	835	50	144110	3127	976	57
P	87441	1847	560	35	125354	2691	830	50	143677	3121	974	57
S	89346	1873	568	36	126696	2706	835	50	144607	3131	977	57
K+P	84498	1801	547	34	122774	2657	820	49	141574	3097	967	56
K+P+S	80744	1738	528	33	120292	2621	810	48	139934	3075	961	56

Outp= outpatient. Inp= inpatient. AR=attack rate.

Scenario A is the base case scenario; scenario B included a 50% reduction in contacts among care-taking parents absent from work based on scenario A; scenario C reduced the compliance to 50% from scenario A.