Table 1. Adjusted odds ratios (AORs) obtained from the multinomial logistic regression of the self-rated health trajectories using persistently good health as the reference group.
| Baseline Predictor Variables | Good but Declining Health AORs | Persistently FairHealth AORs | Fair but DecliningHealth AORs | Overallp value |
| Demographic Factors | ||||
| Age (in years) | 1.101** | 1.012 | 1.146** | .001 |
| Divorced or Separated | 0.711 | 0.727 | 2.032* | .012 |
| Socioeconomic Status | ||||
| Education (in years) | 0.916 | 0.938 | 0.843** | .011 |
| Healthy Lifestyles | ||||
| Current Smoker | 1.563 | 1.734* | 3.065** | .014 |
| Obese | 1.313 | 1.415 | 0.521 | .027 |
| Yale Physical Activity Scale (0 = low, 140 = high) | 1.013* | 0.994 | 0.994 | .037 |
| CAGE Alcoholism Score (0 = low, 4 = high) | 1.241* | 1.083 | 0.776 | .013 |
| Morbidity | ||||
| Angina | 4.619*** | 2.251*** | 1.595 | .009 |
| Arthritis | 0.759 | 2.098** | 1.332 | .002 |
| Congestive Heart Failure | 4.825* | 8.406** | 26.607*** | .001 |
| Diabetes | 2.803*** | 0.889 | 1.425 | .001 |
| Kidney Disease | 1.424 | 1.090 | 6.951** | .001 |
| Stroke | 0.914 | 1.165 | 0.235* | .013 |
| Hospitalized in Pre-baseline Year | 1.493 | 1.905* | 4.716*** | .001 |
| Functional Status | ||||
| Depressive Symptoms Score (0 = lowest, 33 = highest) | 1.078* | 1.155*** | 1.179*** | .001 |
| Hearing (1 = excellent, 5 = poor) | 0.907 | 0.898 | 0.582*** | .010 |
| IADL Limitations (0 = low, 7 = high) | 0.612* | 0.934 | 1.131 | .020 |
| Mobility Limitations (0 = low, 5 = high) | 1.340** | 1.261** | 1.223 | .008 |
| Self-Rated Health at Baseline (15 = fair, 95 = excellent) | 0.974*** | 0.941*** | 0.961*** | .001 |
*
= p<0.05; ** = p<0.01; *** = p<0.001.