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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Aug 21.
Published in final edited form as: J Am Stat Assoc. 2012 Aug 21;107(500):1492–1501. doi: 10.1080/01621459.2012.721281

Table 4.

Average cross-validated estimates using TInline graphic and Z information using the proposed procedure ( BSt0,τ(2),AUCt0,τ(2)) compared to using the landmark Cox model ( BSt0,τ(2)(cox),AUCt0,τ(2)(cox)) (with corresponding SE estimates). All entries are multiplied by 100.

(a) Brier score

BSt0,τ(2)
BSt0,τ(2)(cox)
IPEV2/cox

(i) low event rate
 n=2000 79.2 (0.42) 83.9 (0.45) 5.3 (7.6)
 n=5000 78.2 (0.27) 83.6 (0.29) 63.4 (4.8)
(ii) moderate event rate
 n=2000 10.2 (0.44) 13.5 (0.50) 24.6 (4.5)
 n=5000 10.0 (0.28) 13.5 (0.32) 25.9 (2.7)

(b) AUC

AUCt0,τ(2)
AUCt0,τ(2)(cox)
AUCt0,τ(2)-AUCt0,τ(2)(cox)

(i) low event rate
 n=2000 89.3 (0.93) 87.9 (1.01) 1.4 (1.54)
 n=5000 89.6 (0.58) 87.9 (0.65) 1.7 (0.93)
(ii) moderate event rate
 n=2000 91.2 (0.69) 85.8 (0.95) 5.4 (1.22)
 n=5000 91.5 (0.44) 85.8 (0.64) 5.7 (0.79)