Table 3.
Temporal changes in short-term effective population size of Plasmodium falciparum on the Thai–Burma border
| Temporal comparison | Maximum likelihood_Ne | Moments Ne |
|---|---|---|
| Consecutive years | ||
| 2001–2002 | ∞ [208–∞] | 161 [82–383] |
| 2002–2003 | 703 [323–3582] | 143 [87–236] |
| 2003–2004 | 582 [301–1647] | 99 [61–161] |
| 2004–2005 | 837 [295–∞] | 43 [26–72] |
| 2007–2008 | 2694 [957–∞] | 98 [58–167] |
| 2008–2009 | 2709 [1681–4636] | 328 [206–514] |
| 2009–2010 | 2645 [1539–5195] | 212 [132–335] |
| Two-year intervals | ||
| 2001–2003 | 986 [335–∞] | 216 [129–362] |
| 2004–2006 | 1071 [329–∞] | 73 [43–127] |
| 2007–2009 | 2049 [916–∞] | 196 [115–340] |
| Three-year intervals | ||
| 2001–2004 | 572 [272–2536] | 218 [133–357] |
| 2004–2007 | 818 [419–2499] | 161 [99–261] |
| 2007–2010 | 2776 [1109–∞] | 349 [199–658] |
Figures in square brackets represent 95% CIs. Temporal comparisons 2005–2006 and 2006–2007 are not shown because of the small sample size (14) in 2006. Estimates are derived from the combined population sample from all four clinics. Individual analyses of Mawker–Thai and Maela, the clinics sampled across the 10-year period, showed similar patterns.