Table 1. Definitions and descriptions of the variables, parameters and rates that influence the dynamics of the two-host, two-vector system and the parameter values used to estimate R 0.
Variable, Parameter or Rate | Construction | Definition or Description | Point Estimate and/or Feasible Range | Comments and Formula if Temperature-dependent[vector species] |
xi | Xi/Hi | proportion of host type i that are susceptible | i can be C (cattle) or S (sheep) | |
yi | Yi/Hi | proportion of host type i that are infectious | ||
zi | Zi/Hi | proportion of host type i that have recovered | ||
Hi | Xi+Yi+Zi | total number of host type i | ||
λHi | rate at which susceptible hosts of type i become infectious through being bitten by infectious vectors | j can be 1 (C. imicola) or 2 (C. bolitinos) | ||
bj | probability of transmission from vector type j to a host given an effective contact | 0.8–1.0 | [C. sonorensis] | |
aj | biting rate of vector type j | 0–0.5 | [C. sonorensis] | |
proportion of vectors of type j attracted to hosts of type i | As Gubbins et al. [6], for clarity we replace and with and respectively. | |||
host preference of vector type j <1 indicates a preference for cattle>1 indicates a preference for sheep | 0–1 | C. imicola feeds predominantly on cattle and sheep [16], [17], but prefers cattle [23]. C. bolitinos feeds on cattle and horses [16], [17] and breeds in cattle dung [14]. | ||
mij | Nj/Hi | ratio of vectors of type j to hosts of type i | Many areas:mC 1 = mS 1 = 500 (0–5000)mC 2 = mS 2 = 50 (0–500)Colder high-lying areas:mC 1 = mS 1 = 50 (0–100)mC 2 = mS 2 = 500 (0–5000) | In general, C. imicola is approx. 10 times more abundant than C. bolitinos [15]. In colder, high-lying areas, C. imicola is approx. 10 times less abundant than C. bolitinos [14]. |
Nj | Sj+Lj+Ij | total number of vectors of type j | ||
ri | recovery rate of host type i | rC = 1/20.6rS = 1/16.4 | ||
di | pathogen-induced mortality rate of host type i | dC = 0dS = 0.001–0.01 | ||
Sj | number of vectors of type j that are susceptible | |||
Lj | number of vectors of type j that are latent | |||
Ij | number of vectors of type j that are infectious | |||
λVj | rate at which susceptible vectors of type j become latent through biting infectious hosts | |||
βj | probability of transmission from a host to vector type j given an effective contact | β 1 = 0.0021–0.0654β 2 = 0.0268–0.6444 | [C. imicola][C. bolitinos]Both from data in [15]. | |
νj | rate at which latent vectors of type j become infectious ( = 1/EIP, where EIP = extrinsic incubation period) | 1/4–1/26 | [C. sonorensis] | |
μj | natural mortality rate of vector type j | 0.1–0.5 | [C. sonorensis] | |
ρj | replacement rate of vector type j |
Unless otherwise stated, values were taken from Gubbins et al. [6]. Subscripts 1 and 2 denote C. imicola and C. bolitinos respectively.