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. 2013 Jan 2;13:1. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-13-1

Table 2.

Advantages and disadvantages of projection methods

  Extrapolation Macro simulation Micro simulation
Complexity
Simple
Not overly complex
Complex
Account for excess mortality in dementia
No
Yes
Yes
Account for changes in incidence or prevalence
Yes
Yes
Yes
Account for changes in progression
No
Yes
Yes
Directly account for changes in risk factors
No
No
Yes
Allows identification of distributional characteristics of systems No No Yes