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. 2012 Sep 13;21(Suppl_1):i29–i38. doi: 10.1136/bmjqs-2012-001210

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Results of the exercise to elicit experts’ estimates on expected effectiveness. Above the x-axis: pooled expert opinion on the relative reduction of the attributable risk of adverse events as a result of the implementation of a proposed intervention to improve the quality of handover (mean −0.21 (21% reduction) and 95% Higher Posterior Density Interval (−0.492 to 0.048)). Below the x-axis: Best estimate (×), lowest (•), and upper (▴) plausible value of the relative reduction of the attributable risk of adverse events as a result of the implementation of a proposed intervention to improve the quality of handover, as elicited from each of the 24 experts.