Table 4.
Performance of Q-learning adjustment methods under the confounding by counterfactuals simulations: bias, Monte Carlo variance (MC var), mean squared error (MSE), and coverage of 95% bootstrap confidence intervals.
| Randomized treatment | Confounded treatment | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjustment method | Bias | MC var | MSE | Cover | Bias | MC var | MSE | Cover |
| n = 250 | ||||||||
| None | 0.0020 | 0.0082 | 0.0082 | 94.0 | 0.2293 | 0.0080 | 0.0605 | 26.4 |
| Linear | 0.0011 | 0.0032 | 0.0032 | 95.1 | 0.0051 | 0.0039 | 0.0039 | 93.8 |
| PS (linear) | 0.0010 | 0.0052 | 0.0052 | 96.2 | 0.0548 | 0.0060 | 0.0090 | 89.4 |
| PS (quintiles) | 0.0008 | 0.0056 | 0.0056 | 96.1 | 0.0779 | 0.0061 | 0.0121 | 83.2 |
| IPW | 0.0004 | 0.0046 | 0.0046 | 93.9 | 0.0108 | 0.0075 | 0.0076 | 92.8 |
| n = 1000 | ||||||||
| None | −0.0012 | 0.0022 | 0.0022 | 93.4 | 0.2246 | 0.0021 | 0.0525 | 0.5 |
| Linear | 0.0001 | 0.0009 | 0.0009 | 93.5 | 0.0037 | 0.0010 | 0.0010 | 93.5 |
| PS (linear) | −0.0002 | 0.0014 | 0.0014 | 95.5 | 0.0446 | 0.0015 | 0.0035 | 77.0 |
| PS (quintiles) | −0.0004 | 0.0015 | 0.0015 | 95.7 | 0.0699 | 0.0015 | 0.0064 | 55.0 |
| IPW | −0.0008 | 0.0012 | 0.0012 | 93.6 | 0.0018 | 0.0018 | 0.0018 | 93.6 |