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. 2013 Jan 24;6:10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614. doi: 10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614

Table 3.

Forward sensitivity of initial contact status by age and sex from 50 simulation runs with different duration of follow-up based on contact with all index cases

Duration of follow-up (in years)

Age group (in years) 1 2 3 4 5





Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female Male Female
0 0.89 0.87 0.79 0.80 0.71 0.71 0.66 0.65 0.62 0.60
1–4 0.93 0.91 0.86 0.83 0.78 0.78 0.70 0.70 0.66 0.66
5–9 0.92 0.92 0.84 0.82 0.81 0.78 0.77 0.72 0.73 0.68
10–14 0.90 0.89 0.85 0.81 0.79 0.73 0.74 0.69 0.72 0.65
15–19 0.87 0.87 0.80 0.78 0.72 0.72 0.64 0.64 0.62 0.58
20–24 0.87 0.83 0.77 0.75 0.69 0.69 0.66 0.66 0.59 0.61
25–29 0.86 0.89 0.77 0.79 0.69 0.67 0.60 0.54 0.56 0.52
30–44 0.87 0.90 0.76 0.81 0.69 0.76 0.64 0.71 0.62 0.67
45+ 0.90 0.92 0.85 0.87 0.79 0.82 0.74 0.77 0.70 0.74