Table 2.

Direct, indirect and total effects of child HIV/TB mortality in 2004, Agincourt sub-district

	Direct effects on the deceased child as shown in Fig. 2 conceptual framework
	Gender of household-head	Child a former refugee	Child deceased	Mother deceased by 2004	Age of child in years	Indirect effects on child HIV/TB death	Total effects on child HIV/TB death
Very poor vs most poor	−0.029 (0.019)	0.140 (0.015)***				2.6×10−4 (1.6×10−4)ns !	2.6×10−4 (1.6×10−4)ns
Moderately poor vs most poor	−0.059 (0.020)***					4.5×10−4 (2.1×10−4)**	4.5×10−4 (2.1×10−4)**
Poor vs most poor	−0.052 (0.020)***					4.0×10−4 (2.0×10−4)**	4.0×10−4 (2.0×10−4)**
Least poor vs most poor	−0.111 (0.018)***					8.4×10−4 (3.0 ×10−4)***	8.4×10−4 (3.0×10−4)***
Household size vs most poor	0.008 (0.002)***					−5.9×10−5 (2.5×10−5)**	−5.9×10−5 (2.5×10−5)**
Cumulative household deaths	−0.083 (0.006)***					6.4×10−4 (2.1×10−4)***	6.4×10−4 (2.1×10−4)***
Minimum distance to health facility		0.031 (0.004)***				7.72×10−6 (4.88×10−6)ns	7.72×10−6 (4.88×10−6)ns
Male household-head			−0.0076 (0.002)***				−0.0076 (0.002)***
Mother deceased by 2004			0.027 (0.012)*				0.027 (0.012)**
Age of child in years			−0.0046 (0.001)***				−0.0046 (0.001)***
Gender			0.0052 (0.0023)**				0.0052 (0.0023)**
Mother's age (years)				0.001 (0.000)***		1.9×10−5 (9.99×10−6)*	1.9×10–05 (9.99×10−6)*
Parity				−0.003 (0.001)**		−7.0×10−5 (4.0×10−5)ns	−7.0×10–05 (4.0×10−5)ns
Parents former refugee					−0.054 (0.032)*	−2.5×10−4 (1.5×10−4)*	−2.5×10−4 (1.5×10−4)*
Intercept	1.719 (0.017)***	1.537 (0.011)***	−0.002 (0.014)	0.995 (0.005)***	2.814 (0.054)***

^* p<0.10

^** p<0.05

^*** p<0.01

^nsns: not significant

^!indirect effects computed as the product along the related pathways, i.e −0.029×−0.0076+0.14×−0.054×−0.0046=2.55×10⁻⁴≈2.6×10⁻⁴.