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. 2012 Apr 26;141(2):314–323. doi: 10.1017/S0950268812000635

Table 5.

Summary of test results. The current system which forms the baseline for comparison is highlighted in bold.

Surveillance scenario Interval (years) Herds tested p.a. Cattle tested p.a. Fitted no. of detected infections, total Latent infections False positives 2008
2008 Mean
Baseline scenarios
Slaughterhouse only n.a. 0 0 76·25 43·60 33·78 0
Current 4 2933 439 292 95·08 19·00 16·96 64·27
Maximum 1 11730 1 757 168 104·39 2·81 2·69 255·19
Risk-based surveillance
Better 2/4 2509 388 812 96·59 17·62 16·03 56·03
Similar 4 2236 317 108 94·53 19·74 17·51 48·69
Lower detection 1 4 1768 209 425 92·81 21·71 18·86 37·37
Lower detection 2 1/2/4 2110 441 823 95·17 19·56 17·30 53·86
Interferon-gamma test
Current 4 2933 439 292 97·70 13·85 12·62 2137