Table 1.
Annual change and contribution of demographic changes and age-independent “risk” to cardiovascular diseases and cancer mortality 1980–2010, by sex
| |
Disease |
Annual change in |
Annual variation in number of deaths due to variation in |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period * | Age-standardized mortality rate % (95% CI) | Number of deaths% | Population size% | Population age structure% | Age-independent “risk”% | |
|
Men |
All cardiovascular diseases |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
1980-1993 |
−1.5 (−2.0 to −1.0) |
1.00 |
0.15 |
2.08 |
−1.59 |
| |
1993-2010 |
−4.3 (−4.7 to −3.9) |
−2.20 |
0.18 |
1.35 |
−5.26 |
| |
All cancers |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
1980-1997 |
0.9 (0.7 to 1.1) |
2.76 |
0.28 |
1.65 |
1.16 |
| |
1997-2006 |
−0.7 (−1.2 to −0.2) |
1.18 |
0.60 |
1.32 |
−0.78 |
| |
2006-2010 |
1.5 (0.2 to 2.9) |
2.85 |
−0.26 |
0.66 |
2.47 |
|
Women |
All cardiovascular diseases |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
1980-1996 |
−2.0 (−2.3 to −1.6) |
0.75 |
0.17 |
1.98 |
−1.94 |
| |
1996-2010 |
−4.6 (−5.1 to −4.2) |
−1.79 |
0.23 |
2.00 |
−5.92 |
| |
All cancers |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
1980-1990 |
0.4 (0.2 to 0.7) |
2.09 |
0.18 |
1.36 |
0.65 |
| |
1990-2002 |
−0.6 (−0.9 to −0.4) |
1.19 |
0.37 |
1.32 |
−0.61 |
| |
2002-2006 |
−1.9 (−3.4 to −0.5) |
−0.62 |
0.41 |
1.26 |
−2.39 |
| 2006-2010 | 1.3 (0.4 to 2.3) | 3.17 | −0.10 | 1.08 | 2.24 | |
* We considered the periods with constant log-linear trend identified in the joinpoint analysis.