Table 1. Summary of results from the different model implementations in this study.
Baseline model–mean temperature | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Start day | Kernel | Proportion spread | mean (sd) farms affected | mean (sd) cattle infected | mean (sd) sheep infected | mean (sd) ewes at risk* |
30 | Gaus | 0.009 | 5.51 (2.89) | 2.93 (1.92) | 2.59 (1.80) | 0.00 (0.01) |
Exp | 0.01 | 5.52 (2.90) | 2.94 (1.95) | 2.59 (1.80) | 0.00 (0.01) | |
60 | Gaus | 0.983 | 368 (242) | 172 (161) | 379 (351) | 13.0 (18.2) |
Exp | 0.981 | 300 (203) | 275 (295) | 401 (427) | 12.8 (20.2) | |
90 | Gaus | 0.982 | 52.0 (47.4) | 21.2 (39.1) | 38.3 (67.5) | 0.73 (7.09) |
Exp | 0.980 | 46.3 (31.3) | 26.9 (52.0) | 31.9 (51.4) | 0.57 (5.44) | |
120 | Gaus | 0 | 5.49 (2.87) | 2.93 (1.93) | 2.56 (1.77) | 0.00 (0) |
Exp | 0 | 5.49 (2.86) | 2.94 (1.94) | 2.55 (1.77) | 0.00 (0) |
*Ewes at risk of reproductive losses.