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. 2013 Jan 4;31(2):151–161. doi: 10.1007/s40273-012-0016-3

Table 5.

Results of external validation with TORCH [17]

Key results Published results [17] Model results
Probability of death from any cause in 3 years (%)

Combination: 12.59

PL: 15.16

Combination: 17.90

PL: 17.99

Annual rate of exacerbations per patient

Combination: 0.85

PL: 1.13

RR 0.75 (95 % CI 0.69–0.81)

Combination: 0.74

PL: 1.05

RR 0.71 (95 % CI 0.709–0.710)

Adjusted mean change in FEV1 averaged over 3 years of combination therapy vs. PL [litre (95 % CI)] 0.092 (0.075–0.108); p < 0.001 0.067 (0.064–0.069)
Adjusted mean change in SGRQ score averaged over 3 years [units (95 % CI)]

Combination: −3.0

PL: +0.2

Combination: −2.10 (−2.08 to −2.12)

PL: −1.54 (−1.53 to −1.54)

CI confidence interval, FEV 1 forced expiratory volume in 1 second, PL placebo, RR relative risk, SGRQ St. George’s Respiratory Questionnaire