TABLE 3. Effect of education on fertility transition.
| (a) Posterior means of coefficients | |||
|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||
| Parameter | Global (α) |
Education effect (δ) |
Interpretation |
| Fpre | 6.36 | −0.55 | more education in 1970 ⇒ lower |
| Fpost | 2.26 | −0.27 | more education in 2000 ⇒ lower |
| Start | 1970 | −4.6 | more education in 1970 ⇒ earlier |
| Duration | 27 | 3.9 | more education in 1970 ⇒ longer |
| (b) Implied logistic parameters across education distribution (excluding spatial effects) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| |||||
| Education level |
|||||
| min | 25%ile | median | 75%ile | max | |
| Fpre | 7.3 | 6.8 | 6.5 | 5.9 | 4.7 |
| Fpost | 3.3 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Start | 1978 | 1974 | 1971 | 1966 | 1956 |
| Duration | 20 | 24 | 26 | 30 | 39 |
NOTE: See model on page 288 for definitions of α and δ.