Table 4.
Youden's index* | Cut-off point (95% CI)† | Sensitivity | Specificity | Positive PV‡ | Negative PV‡ | AUC of the ROC (95% CI)§ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Regular and occasional smokers: 1845 non-smokers, 418 smokers | ||||||
– | 50 | 0.957 | 0.951 | 0.816 | 0.990 | |
– | 100 | 0.950 | 0.966 | 0.865 | 0.988 | 0.986 (0.982 to 0.990) |
0.918 | 82 (42 to 136) | 0.952 | 0.966 | 0.863 | 0.989 | |
Results stratified by frequency of smoking | ||||||
Occasional smokers: 1845 non-smokers, 37 smokers | ||||||
– | 25 | 0.892 | 0.870 | 0.121 | 0.998 | |
– | 50 | 0.649 | 0.951 | 0.211 | 0.993 | 0.947 (0.923 to 0.970) |
0.772 | 27 (11 to 43) | 0.892 | 0.880 | 0.130 | 0.998 | |
Daily smokers: 1845 non-smokers, 381 smokers | ||||||
– | 50 | 0.987 | 0.951 | 0.807 | 0.997 | |
– | 100 | 0.982 | 0.966 | 0.858 | 0.996 | 0.990 (0.986 to 0.994) |
0.949 | 115 (57 to 189) | 0.982 | 0.967 | 0.862 | 0.996 | |
Results stratified by SHS exposure among non-smokers | ||||||
Non-exposed to SHS: 798 non-smokers, 418 active smokers | ||||||
– | 50 | 0.957 | 0.987 | 0.976 | 0.978 | |
– | 100 | 0.950 | 0.990 | 0.980 | 0.974 | 0.994 (0.990 to 0.998) |
0.954 | 42 (27 to 57) | 0.971 | 0.982 | 0.967 | 0.985 | |
Exposed to SHS (1 source**): 735 non-smokers, 418 active smokers | ||||||
– | 50 | 0.957 | 0.935 | 0.893 | 0.974 | |
– | 100 | 0.950 | 0.958 | 0.928 | 0.971 | 0.981 (0.974 to 0.989) |
0.910 | 82 (46 to 136) | 0.952 | 0.958 | 0.928 | 0.972 | |
Exposed to SHS (2–3 sources**): 303 non-smokers, 418 active smokers | ||||||
– | 50 | 0.957 | 0.894 | 0.926 | 0.938 | |
– | 100 | 0.950 | 0.924 | 0.945 | 0.930 | 0.977 (0.966 to 0.987) |
0.877 | 106 (58 to 227) | 0.950 | 0.927 | 0.947 | 0.930 |
*Youden's index=max (sensitivity+specificity−1).
†95% Bootstrap CI for the cut-off point associated with Youden's index.
‡Predictive value of a positive or negative result for the prevalence of smoking in the study group.
§Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and 95% CI.
**Number of sources of exposure at work, home and elsewhere in leisure time.
SHS, second-hand smoking.