Transitions within ART model
|
Transition probability to LTFU within 0–6 months on ART
|
On starting ART |
|
0,0085 (0,0080 to 0,0091) |
0,0006 (0,0006 to 0,0006) |
On restarting ART |
|
0,0270 (0,0205 to 0,0356) |
0,0251 (0,0251 to 0,0251) |
Hazard coefficient to LTFU within >6 months on ART
|
CD4 0–49 cells/µL |
VL <1,000 copies/ml |
−4,7 |
−5,13 |
CD4 0–49 cells/µL |
VL 1,000–100,000 copies/ml |
−3,79 |
−4,16 |
CD4 0–49 cells/µL |
VL >100,000 copies/ml |
−4,00 |
−4,37 |
CD4 50–199 cells/µL |
VL <1,000 copies/ml |
−5,31 |
−5,44 |
CD4 50–199 cells/µL |
VL 1,000–100,000 copies/ml |
−4,4 |
−4,47 |
CD4 50–199 cells/µL |
VL <1000 copies/ml |
−4,61 |
−4,68 |
CD4 200–349 cells/µL |
VL >100,000 copies/ml |
−5,73 |
−4,52 |
CD4 200–349 cells/µL |
VL 1,000–100,000 copies/ml |
−4,82 |
−3,56 |
CD4 200–349 cells/µL |
VL <1000 copies/ml |
−5,03 |
−3,76 |
CD4 350–499 cells/µL |
VL >100,000 copies/ml |
−5,73 |
−4,52 |
CD4 350–499 cells/µL |
VL 1,000–100,000 copies/ml |
−4,82 |
−3,56 |
CD4 350–499 cells/µL |
VL >100,000 copies/ml |
−5,03 |
−3,76 |
CD4 ≥500 cells/µL |
VL <1,000 copies/ml |
−5,73 |
−4,52 |
CD4 ≥500 cells/µL |
VL 1,000–100,000 copies/ml |
−4,82 |
−3,56 |
CD4 ≥500 cells/µL |
VL >100,000 copies/ml |
−5,03 |
−3,76 |
Hazard coefficients for Gompertz function
|
alpha |
1,5 |
0,5 |
beta – half-life (months) |
12 |
8 |
Initial distribution within LTFU model
|
CD4 0–49 cells/µL |
0,278 (0,255 to 0,302) |
0,243 (0,217 to 0,269) |
CD4 50–199 cells/µL |
0,722 (0,745 to 0,698) |
0,757 (0,783 to 0,731) |
Transitions within LTFU model
|
Transition probability between CD4 category
|
CD4 50–199 to CD4 0–49 cells/µL |
0,005 (0,005 to 0,005) |
0,006 (0,006 to 0,006) |
Transition probability back to ART
|
CD4 0–199 cells/µL |
0,134 (0,128 to 0,141) |
0,146 (0,139 to 0,154) |
Transition probability to death
|
CD4 0–49 cells/µL |
0,006 (0,005 to 0,008) |
0,006 (0,005 to 0,008) |
CD4 50–199 cells/µL |
0,001 (0,001 to 0,017) |
0,001 (0,001 to 0,017) |