Table 2. Observed, counterfactual, and averted deaths in 2009.
Sex | Age (years) | Observed deaths | Counterfactual deaths (95% UI) | Averted deaths (95% UI) | ||
Overall social sector expenditure | Poverty | Overall social sector expenditure | Poverty | |||
boys | <1 | 664,441 | 663,536 (525,847 – 875,148) | 956,089 (743,058 – 1,305,265) | 0 (0 – 77,258) | 291,648 (192,599 – 450,952) |
girls | <1 | 648,552 | 694,762 (554,677 – 909,632) | 834,714 (654,699 – 1,097,702) | 46,210 (0 – 147,538) | 186,162 (100,372 – 306,422) |
boys | 1 to 4 | 140,848 | 260,655 (190,800 – 372,618) | 173,579 (120,313 – 265,790) | 119,807 (53,409 – 214,662) | 32,731 (2,285 – 89,345) |
girls | 1 to 4 | 197,638 | 291,675 (188,903 – 447,380) | 300,144 (177,411 – 520,209) | 94,037 (14,725 – 206,684) | 102,506 (35,118 – 231,906) |
Counterfactual and averted deaths are estimated for the scenarios in which overall social sector expenditure and poverty rates would have remained at their 1997 levels. (UI = uncertainty interval)