Table 6.
Projecting physician supply and future population between 2012 and 2030
| Year | Estimated population (thousands)a | Estimated physician supply | Physician to population ratio |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 |
68,251 |
33,471 |
1: 2,039 |
| 2013 |
68,610 |
34,944 |
1: 1,963 |
| 2014 |
68,980 |
36,515 |
1: 1,889 |
| 2015 |
69,222 |
38,168 |
1: 1,814 |
|
2016 |
69,455 |
39,909 |
1: 1,740 |
| 2017 |
69,679 |
41,718 |
1: 1,670 |
| 2018 |
69,893 |
43,540 |
1: 1,605 |
| 2019 |
70,100 |
45,349 |
1: 1,546 |
|
2020 |
70,217 |
47,081 |
1: 1,491 |
| 2021 |
70,330 |
48,762 |
1: 1,442 |
| 2022 |
70,440 |
50,505 |
1: 1,395 |
| 2023 |
70,547 |
52,197 |
1: 1,352 |
| 2024 |
70,651 |
53,864 |
1: 1,312 |
| 2025 |
72,065 |
55,505 |
1: 1,298 |
| 2026 |
72,400 |
57,101 |
1: 1,268 |
| 2027 |
72,734 |
58,666 |
1: 1,240 |
| 2028 |
73,069 |
60,204 |
1: 1,214 |
| 2029 |
73,403 |
61,717 |
1: 1,189 |
| 2030 | 73,738 | 63,212 | 1: 1,167 |
aThe rows highlighted indicate years when the national goals of physician to population ratio of 1:1,800 and 1:1,500 will be achieved.
Source: National Economic and Social Development Board (2003).