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. 2013 Mar;29(3):541–546. doi: 10.1089/aid.2012.0266

Table 4.

Performance of Immunological Failure Criteria to Predict Various Levels of Virological Failure Among Patients Receiving First-Line Antiretroviral Therapy

  CF IO VO CU SENS SPEC Efficiency PPV NPV
VL>5000 copies/ml
 6 months 87 7 13 2 13.3 92.5 81.7 22.2 87
 12 months 61 9 16 2 11.1 87.1 71.6 18.2 79.2
VL>500 copies/ml
 6 months 78 16 13 2 13.3 83 73.4 11.1 85.7
 12 months 55 15 13 5 27.8 78.6 68.9 25 80.9
VL>50 copies/ml
 6 months 28 66 9 6 40 29.8 31.2 8.3 75.7
 12 months 47 23 12 6 33.3 67.1 60.2 20.7 79.7

CF, concordant favorable responders; IO, immunological only responders; VO, virological only responders; CU, concordant unfavorable responders; VL, viral load; SENS, sensitivity; SPEC, specificity; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value.