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. 2010 May 11;7:39. doi: 10.1186/1479-5868-7-39

Table 12.

Studies examining the relationship between physical activity and cardiovascular disease.

Publication Country Study Design Quality Score Objective Population Methods Outcome Comments and Conclusions
Paffenbarger and Hale 1975 [47] To evaluate the role of PA in reducing coronary mortality among longshoreman • n = 6,351 22 years of follow up, or until reached the age of 75 yr RR (95% CI) Sudden death VPA is associated with reduced risk of coronary mortality, particularly sudden cardiac death.
USA • Sex: Men  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
• Age: 35-74 yr  • G2 = 3.5
• Characteristics: Longshoreman PA assessment: Energy and oxygen cost requirements of longshoring jobs  • G3 = 2.8
Prospective cohort Delayed death
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
D & B score = 12  • G2 = 1.4
Activity level  • G3 = 1.5
G1 = Heavy (5.2-7.5 kcal/min) Unspecified death
G2 = Moderate (2.4-5.0 kcal/min)  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
G3 = Light (1.5-2.0 kcal/min)  • G2 = 1.1
 • G3 = 1.6
Outcome measure: Death from CHD

Manson et al 2002 [56] To compare the roles of walking and vigorous exercise in the prevention of CV events in a large, ethnically diverse cohort of postmenopausal women. • n = 73,743 Enrolment from 1994-98 Clinic visit for baseline screening,  • Number of New Cases: 345 Both walking and VPA are associated with substantial reductions in the incidence of CHD events.
USA • Sex: Women  • Total Number of CVD events: 1551
• Age: 50-79 yr
• Characteristics: Healthy, Post Menopausal Age adjusted RR (95% CI) Total exercise (MET-hr/wk)
PA assessment: Questionnaire for: Total exercise (MET- hr/wk)
Prospective cohort G1 = 0-2.4  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
• Women's Health Initiative Observational Study G2 = 2.5-7.2  • G2 = 0.73 (0.53-0.99)
G3 = 7.3-13.4  • G3 = 0.69 (0.51-0.95)
D & B score = 12 G4 = 13.5-23.3  • G4 = 0.68 (0.50-0.93)
G5 = ≥ 23.4  • G5 = 0.47 (0.33-0.67)
p = <0.001
Walking (MET-hr/wk)
Walking (MET-hr/wk)  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
G1 = None  • G2 = 0.71 (0.53-0.96)
G2 = 0.1-2.5  • G3 = 0.60 (0.44-0.83)
G3 = 2.6-5.0  • G4 = 0.54 (0.39-0.76)
G4 = 5.1-10.0  • G5 = 0.61 (0.44-0.84)
G5 > 10 p = 0.004
Time for VPA (min) Vigorous exercise
G1 = None  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
G2 = 1-60  • G2 = 1.12 (0.79-1.60)
G3 = 61-100  • G3 = 0.56 (0.32-0.98)
G4 = 101-150  • G4 = 0.73 (0.43-1.25)
G5 = >150  • G5 = 0.58 (0.34-0.99)
p = 0.008
Outcome Measure: Incidence of CVD and CHD

Wisloff et al 2006 [58] To study the association between the amount and intensity of exercise and CVD mortality. • n = 56,072 (27,143 men; 28,929 women) Length of follow-up: 16 ± 4 yr  • Number of Cases: 1,603 male, 993 female Men and women who exercise to a moderate degree and spend less than the recommended energy (< 1000 kcal/wk) are at lower risk of dying from heart disease than those who never exercise.
Norway • Sex: Men and women PA assessment: Questionnaire for LTPA, 4 groups Multivariate RR (95% CI)
Prospective cohort • Age: ≥ 20 yr Men
• Characteristics: Free form CVD Men  • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
Q1 = None  • Q2 = 0.66 (0.50-0.87)
D & B score = 12 • HUNT study Q2 = 1/wk >30 min high  • Q3 = 0.83 (0.65-1.06)
Q3 = 2-3/wk > 30 min high  • Q4 = 0.77 (0.59-1.01)
Q4 = ≥ 4/wk > 30 min high Women
 • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
Women  • Q2 = 0.63 (0.31-1.29)
Q1 = None  • Q3 = 0.66 (0.32-1.34)
Q2 = 1/wk ≤ 30 min low  • Q4 = 0.86 (0.45-1.62)
Q3 = 1/wk ≤ 30 min high
Q4 = 2-3/wk ≤ 30 min low
Outcome Measure: Ischaemic heart disease mortality
Cox proportional HR

Lee et al 2001 [59] To examine the relationship between PA (specifically walking) and CHD among women, including those at high risk for CHD. • n = 39,372 Recruitment of Participants: Sept 1992-May 1995  • Number of Cases: 244 Even light to moderate activity is associated with lower CHD rates in women.
USA and Puerto Rico • Sex: Women
• Age: ≥ 45 yr Multivariate RR (95% CI) Time spent walking
• Characteristics: Healthy PA assessment: Questionnaires Divided into 4 or 5 groups:  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
• Women's Health Study  • G2 = 0.86 (0.57-1.29) As little as 1 hour of walking per week predicted lower risk.
Prospective cohort  • G3 = 0.49 (0.28-0.86)
 • G4 = 0.48 (0.29-0.78)
p = <0.001
D & B score = 12 Time spent walking
G1 = No regular walking Walking pace
G2 = 1-59 min/wk  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
G3 = 1.0-1.5 h/wk  • G2 = 0.56 (0.32-0.97)
G4 = ≥ 2.0 h/wk  • G3 = 0.71 (0.47-1.05)
Walking pace (km/h)  • G4 = 0.52 (0.30-0.90)
G1 = No regular walking p = 0.02
G2 = 3.2
G3 = 3.2-4.7
G4 = ≥ 4.8 EE (kcal/wk)
 • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
EE (kcal/wk)  • Q2 = 0.79 (0.56-1.12)
G1 = 200  • Q3 = 0.55 (0.37-0.82)
G2 = 200-599  • Q4 = 0.75 (0.50-1.12)
G3 = 600-1499 and p = 0.03
G4 = 1500 or more
Energy expended VPA (kcal/wk)
Energy expenditure for VPA (kcal/wk)  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
G1 = No vigorous, <200 kcal/wk  • G2 = 0.65 (0.46-0.91)
G2 = No vigorous, ≥ 200 kcal/wk  • G3 = 1.18 (0.79-1.78)
 • G4 = 0.96 (0.60-1.55)
 • G5 = 0.63 (0.38-1.04)
G3 = Vigorous, 1-199 kcal/wk
G4 = Vigorous, 200-499 kcal/wk
G5 = Vigorous, ≥ 500 kcal/wk

Paffenbarger et al 1993 [67] To analyze changes in the lifestyle of Harvard Alumni and the associations of these changes to mortality. • n = 10,269 Baseline measure in 1962 or 1967 with a follow up in 1977 Alumni who increased their PA index to 2000 kcal or more per week had a 17% lower risk of death from CHD then those who were sedentary (p = 0.507) Moderately vigorous sports activity was associated with lower rates of death from CHD among middle aged and older men
• Sex: Men
• Age: 45-84 yr
USA • Characteristics: Health, Harvard College Alumni
Prospective cohort PA assessment: Mailed questionnaires included questions on type, duration, intensity, frequency of PA. Men who took up moderate took up moderately vigorous activity had a 41% lower risk than those who continued not to engage in such activity (p = 0.044)
D & B score = 13 Outcome Measure: CHD deaths between 1977 and 1985
Cox proportional hazards model
Poisson regression methods
The Mantel extension of the Mantel-Haenszel test

Haapanen et al 1997 [77] To examine the association between duration and intensity of LTPA and the risk of CHD. • n = 2,840 (1,500 men; 1,340 women) Length of Follow-up: 10 yrs  • Incident Rates (per 1000 person-years) for CHD = 108 for men and 75 for women. Total EE had an inverse and independent association with risk of CHD in middle aged Finnish men but not among women.
Finland • Sex: Men and women PA assessment: Questionnaire for LTPA EE (kcal/wk) Multivariate RR (95% CI) LTPA and CHD mortality
Prospective cohort • Age: 35-63 yr Men
• Characteristics: Healthy Men  • G1 = 1.98
G1 = 0-1100  • G2 = 1.33
D & B score = 13 G2 = 1101-1900  • G3 = 1.00 (referent)
G3 = >1900
Women
Women  • G1 = 1.25
G1 = 0-900  • G2 = 0.73
G2 = 901-1500  • G3 = 1.00 (referent)
G3 = >1500
Outcome Measure: CHD mortality
Cox proportional HR

Barengo et al 2004 [164] To investigate whether moderate or high LTPA are associated with a reduced CVD and all-cause mortality, independent of CVD risk factors and other forms of PA in men and women. • n = 31,677 (15,853 men; 16,824 women) 20 year follow-up  • Number of Cases (Men): 1,661 Moderate and high levels of LTPA and OPA are associated with reduced CVD mortality.
PA assessment: Questionnaire for LTPA and OPA, 3 groups  • Number of Cases (Women): 778
Finland • Sex: Men and women HR (95% CI) LTPA, men
Prospective cohort • Age: 30-59 G1 = Low activity  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
• Characteristics: Participant from eastern and south-western Finland G2 = Moderate activity  • G2 = 0.91 (0.82-1.00)
D & B score = 14 G3 = High activity  • G3 = 0.83 (0.69-0.99)
LTPA, women (referent)
 • G1 = 1.00
 • G2 = 0.83 (0.71-0.96)
 • G3 = 0.89 (0.68-1.18)
OPA, men
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.75 (0.64-0.87)
 • G3 = 0.77 (0.69-0.87)
OPA, women
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.73 (0.60-0.88)
 • G3 = 0.77 (0.65-0.91)

Bijnen et al 1998 [166] To describe the association between the PA pattern of elderly men and CHD mortality. • n = 802 Length of Follow-up: 10  • Number of Cases: 90 PA did not show a protective effect on death from CHD.
• Sex: Men
• Age: 64-84 yr PA assessment: Questionnaire, divided into 3 groups RR (95% CI)
Netherlands • Characteristics: Free from Serious Illness  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.63 (0.38-1.05)
Prospective cohort G1 = Lowest  • G3 = 0.85 (0.51-1.44)
• Ethnicity: Dutch G2 = Middle
• Zutphen Elderly Study G3 = Highest
D & B score = 13 Outcome Measure: CHD Mortality
Cox Proportional HR

Davey-Smith et al 2000 [174] To examine the association between two measures of physical activity (LTPA and usual walking pace) with cause specific mortality (CHD). • n = 6,702 Length of Follow-up: 25 yrs  • Number of Cases: 955 Inverse associations of both LTPA and walking pace with mortality from CHD were seen.
• Sex: Men
• Age: 40-64 yr RR (95% CI) by walking pace
England • Whitehall Study PA assessment: Questionnaire during examination for walking pace and LTPA  • G1 = 1.45 (0.9-2.2)
 • G2 = 1.30 (1.1-1.6)
Prospective cohort  • G3 = 1.00 (referent)
p < 0.01
D & B score = 11 Walking pace Multivariate RR (95% CI) by LTPA level
G1 = Slower  • G1 = 1.24 (1.0-1.5)
G2 = Same  • G2 = 0.94 (0.8-1.2)
G3 = Faster  • G3 = 1.00
p < 0.05
LTPA
G1 = Inactive
G2 = Moderate
G3 = Active
Outcome Measure: CHD Mortality
Cox Proportional HR

Eaton et al 1995 [175] To determine whether self reported PA predicts a decreased risk of CHD. • n = 8,463 (LTPA), 8,418 (OPA) Length of Follow-up: 21 yrs  • Number of Cases: 709 Baseline levels of self reported LTPA predicted a decreased rate of CHD.
Age adjusted RR (95% CI) by LTPA level
USA • Sex: Men PA assessment: Interview  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
• Age: 40 yr  • G2 = 0.79 (0.63-0.99)
Prospective cohort • Characteristics: Healthy, free of CHD LTPA  • G3 = 0.73 (0.59-0.89)
G1 = Sedentary  • G4 = 0.71 (0.52-0.98)
G2 = Light
D & B score = 11 Ethnicity: Israeli G3 = Light Daily Age adjusted RR (95% CI) by OPA level
G4 = Heavy  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.99 (0.75-1.18)
OPA  • G3 = 0.94 (0.78-1.12)
G1 = Sitting  • G4 = 0.87 (0.67-1.10)
G3 = Walking
G4 = Physical Labour
Outcome Measure: CHD Death
Cox Proportional HR

Hillsdon et al 2004 [183] To examine whether a short, easily administered measure of PA is associated with the risk of death from all causes and specific causes. • n = 10,522 (4,929 men; 5,593 women) Length of Follow-up: > 10 yrs  • Number of Cases: 155 Self reported VPA is associated with the risk of future mortality.
Multivariate RR (95% CI) by PA level
UK • Sex: Men and women PA assessment: Questionnaire, 3 groups:  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.46 (0.19-1.12)
Prospective cohort • Age: 35-64 yr G1 = Never / <1 time/month  • G3 = 0.96 (0.53-1.75)
• Characteristics: no history of chest pain
G2 = <2 times/wk
D & B score = 11 G3 = ≥ 2 times/wk
Outcome Measure: IHD mortality
Cox proportional HR

Leon et al 1997 [199] To study the relationship of PA to CHD in a well defined population at above average risk for CHD over a 16 yr observation period. • n = 12,138 Follow up for 16 years Age Adjusted RR (95% CI) A relatively small amount (10-36 min/d) of daily moderate intensity LTPA can significantly reduce premature mortality from CHD in middle aged men at high risk for CHD.
USA • Sex: Men  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
• Age: 35-57 yr PA assessment: Questionnaire at baseline (Minnesota LTPA questionnaire), divided/grouped into deciles of LTPA (min/d)  • G2 = 0.71 (0.56-0.91)
• Characteristics: Free of CHD but in the upper 10-15% of a CHD probability risk score  • G3 = 0.75 (0.59-0.96)
 • G4 = 0.69 (0.54-0.96)
Prospective cohort Multivariate adjusted RR (95% CI)
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
D & B score = 11 G1 = D1: (0-9 min/d)  • G2 = 0.75 (0.54-0.96)
Multiple risk factor intervention trial G2 = D2-4: (10-36 min/d)  • G3 = 0.81 (0.64-1.04)
G3 = D5-7: (37-75 min/d)  • G4 = 0.75 (0.59-0.96)
G4 = D8-10: (76-359 min/d)
Outcome Measure: CHD Mortality

Rosengren et al 1997 [211] To examine the long term effect of OPA and LTPA on the risk of death from CHD. • n = 7,142 Length of Follow-up: 20 yrs Number of Cases: 684 There appears to be a protective effect of LTPA on CHD-related death.
• Sex: Men
• Age: 47-55 yr Multivariate RR (95% CI) for LTPA
Sweden • Characteristics: Swedish men PA assessment: Questionnaire for LTPA, 3 groups  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.84 (0.71-1.00)
Prospective cohort  • G3 = 0.84 (0.73-0.96)
G1 = Sedentary
G2 = Moderately active
D & B score = 13 G3 = Regular exercise
Outcome Measure: CHD death
Proportional HR

Schnohr et al 2006 [214] To describe the associations between different levels of LTPA and subsequent causes of death. • n = 4,894 (2,136 men; 2,758 women) Participants included in the study were only those whose PA levels did not change over 5 years  • Number of Cases: 292 There was an inverse and significant dose- response association between LTPA and CHD-related mortality.
Adjusted RR (95% CI) Whole group
Denmark • Sex: Men and women  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.71 (0.51-0.99)
Prospective cohort Age: 20--79 yr PA assessment:  • G3 = 0.56 (0.38-0.82)
• Characteristics: Healthy Questionnaire LTPA
D & B score = 12 • Copenhagen City Heart Study G1 = <4 METS Men
G2 = 4-6 METS  • G1 = referent
G3 = >6 METS  • G2 = survived 4.9 yrs longer
 • G3 = survived 6.8 yrs longer
Cox proportional HR
Women
 • G1 = referent
 • G2 = survived 5.5 yrs longer
 • G3 = survived 6.4 yrs longer

Weller et al 1998 [220] To examine the relationship between PA and mortality. • n = 6,620 Length of Follow-up: 7 yrs  • Number of Cases: 109 LTPA is inversely associated with risk of fatal MI.
• Sex: Women
• Age: ≥ 30 yr PA assessment: OR (95% CI) by LTPA
Canada • Characteristics: Canadian Women Questionnaire, 4 groups for LTPA (kcal/kg/day) and non-LTPA (kcal/kg/day)  • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • Q2 = 0.61 (0.07-1.19)
Prospective cohort  • Q3 = 0.84 (0.52-1.37)
 • Q4 = 0.63 (0.36-1.09)
D & B score = 9 LTPA (kcal/kg/day) OR (95% CI) by non-LTPA
Q1 = ≥ 0  • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
Q2 = ≥ 0.1  • Q2 = 0.71 (0.44-1.16)
Q3 = ≥ 0.5  • Q3 = 0.57 (0.33-0.97)
Q4 = ≥ 1.6  • Q4 = 0.49 (0.26-0.92)
Non-LTPA (kcal/kg/day)
Q1 = ≥ 0
Q2 = ≥ 2.8
Q3 = ≥ 5.9
Q4 = ≥ 9.9
Outcome Measure: Fatal MI
Logistic regression analysis

Yu et al 2003 [221] To examine the optimal intensity of LTPA to decrease the risk of CHD mortality in middle aged British men. • n = 1,975 10 year follow-up  • Number of Cases: 82 Strong significant inverse relationship between heavy LTPA and CHD mortality.
• Sex: Men PA assessment: Questionnaire (Minnesota LTPA questionnaire), 3 groups Multivariate adjusted HR (95% CI)
• Age: 49-64 yr  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
UK • Characteristics: Healthy, no previous history of CHD  • G2 = 0.74 (0.44-1.25)
 • G3 = 0.55 (0.31-0.98)
Prospective cohort p = 0.039 Relationship was not significant for low- moderate intensity LTPA and OPA.
• Caerphilly collaborative heart study Total activity level (kcal/day)
D & B score = 11 G1 = 0.0 - 161.6
G2 = 161.8 - 395.3
G3 = 395.5 - 2747.2
Cox proportional HR

Altieri et al 2004 [222] To assess the possible protective role of PA on CHD. • n = 985 (507 men; 478 women) PA assessment: Questionnaire for OPA, divided into quartiles Number of Cases: 507 LTPA from 15-19 yrs as well as OPA from 30 - 39 yrs both have a significant inverse relationship with risk of non fatal acute MI.
OR (95% CI) for CHD and OPA
Italy • Sex: Men and women Q1 = lowest  • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
Q2  • Q2 = 0.63 (0.39-1.03)
Case Control • Age: < 79 yr Q3  • Q3 = 0.56 (0.35-0.90)
• Characteristics: Case: Patients admitted to Hospital with non-fatal Acute MI. Controls: Patients admitted to hospital for acute condition unrelated to known or potential risk factors for acute MI Q4 = highest  • Q4 = 0.57 (0.34-0.95)
D & B score = 11 p = 0.045
Outcome Measure: Non Fatal acute MI
Unconditional logistic regression

Batty et al 2003 [223] To examine the relationship between physical activity and three mortality endpoints in healthy persons. • n = 6,474 Length of Follow-up: 25 yr  • Number of Cases: 837 A suggestion that the symptomatic nature of ischemia appeared to modify the affects of
• Sex: Men  • Number of Dropouts: 158
• Age: 40-64 yr PA assessment: Questionnaire for LTPA, divided into 3 groups:
UK • Characteristics: British civil servants who underwent a resting ECG HR (95% CI) for CHD and LTPA
 • G1 = 1.14 (0.9-1.4) PA on total and CHD mortality.
Prospective cohort G1 = Inactive  • G2 = 0.94 (0.8-1.1)
G2 = Moderate  • G3 = 1.00 (referent)
G3 = Active
D & B score = 13
Outcome Measure: CHD mortality
Cox Proportional HR

Chen and Millar [224] To examine the potential protective effect of LTPA on the incidence of heart disease and depression. • n = 15,670 Length of Follow-up: 2 yrs • 100 cases Regular and at least MPA can be beneficial to heart health.
• Sex: Men and women
• Age: ≥ 20 yr PA assessment: EE from self administered questionnaire, 4 groups (kcal/kg/day) Adjusted OR (95% CI)
Canada • Characteristics: Healthy and free from heart disease  • G1 = 5.0 (1.84-13.59)
 • G2 = 3.7 (1.26-10.67)
Prospective cohort  • G3 = 1.00 (referent)
G1 = Sedentary  • G4 = 1.3 (0.41-3.89)
G2 = Light (<1.5)
D & B score = 11 National Population Health Survey G3 = Moderate (1.5-2.9)
G4 = Active (≥ 3)
Outcome Measure: CHD incidence
Multiple logistic regression

Conroy et al 2005 [225] To examine the relationship between 1) PA during young adulthood and middle age, and 2) PA during each time period and CHD during middle age and older women. • n = 37,169 Length of Follow-up: 9 yrs  • Number of Cases: 477 PA during middle age predicts lower risk of CHD
• Sex: Women
• Age: ≥ 45 yr Multivariate RR (95% CI) Baseline PA and incidence of CHD
US • Characteristics: Healthy women health professionals PA assessment: Questionnaire for EE (kcal/wk) and months/yr
• Women's Health Study  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
Cohort study  • G2 = 0.62 (0.48-0.80)
 • G3 = 0.61 (0.48-0.79)
D & B score = 11 Baseline PA (kcal/wk)  • G4 = 0.61 (0.46-0.81)
G1 = <200 p = <0.001
G2 = 200-599
G3 = 600-1499 Past PA and incidence of CHD
G4 = ≥ 1500  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.76 (0.57-1.02)
Past PA  • G3 = 0.95 (0.72-1.24)
Months per year  • G4 = 1.04 (0.78-1.39)
G1 = 0  • G5 = 0.81 (0.58-1.14)
G2 = 1-3
G3 = 4-6
G4 = 7-9
G5 = 10-12
Outcome Measure: Incidence of CHD
Cox proportional hazard regression

Dorn et al 1999 [226] To examine the long-term relationships between total PA and mortality from all causes and CHD in the general population. • n = 1,461 (698 men; 763 women) Length of Follow-up: 29 years  • Number of Cases: 109 men, 81 women PA favorably influences mortality risks in non- obese men and younger women.
USA • Sex: Men and women PA assessment: Questionnaire Multivariate RR (95% CI) for PAI in non- obese men
Prospective cohort • Age: 15-96 yr  • 0.40 (0.19-0.88) for 1 kcal/kg/h
• Characteristics: Outcome Measure: CHD Multivariate RR (95% CI) for PAI in obese men
Healthy, free from CHD, diabetes, and Stroke. Mortality  • 1.86 (0.86-4.03) for 1 kcal/kg/h
D & B score = 11
Cox Proportional Hazard
Ratio Multivariate RR (95% CI) for PAI in women < 60 yrs
• Ethnicity: White.  • 0.42 (0.11-1.52) for 1 kcal/kg/h
Multivariate RR (95% CI) for PAI in women > 60 yrs
 • 1.78 (0.77-4.09) for 1 kcal/kg/h

Folsom et al 1997 [227] To examine the association of PA at baseline with CHD incidence. • n = 13,999 (6,166 men; 7833 women) Length of Follow-up: 4-7 yrs  • Number of Cases: 223 men, 97 women, No significant relationships.
Multivariate RR (95% CI) LTPA, men
USA • Sex: Men and women PA assessment: Questionnaire during home interview, divided into quartiles of LTPA and sports activity
 • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
Prospective cohort • Age: 45-64 yr  • Q2 = 1.08 (0.75-1.55)
• Characteristics: no CHD at baseline  • Q3 = 0.83 (0.51-1.36)
 • Q4 = 0.89 (0.59-1.35)
D & B score = 9 Q1 = Low
• Ethnicity: Black and non Black Q2 LTPA, women
Q3  • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
• Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study Q4 = High  • Q2 = 0.74 (0.42-1.31)
 • Q3 = 1.07 (0.55-2.09)
Outcome Measure: CHD incidence Poisson Regression  • Q4 = 0.64 (0.34-1.24)
Multivariate RR (95% CI) Sports, men
 • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • Q2 = 1.15 (0.79-1.68)
 • Q3 = 1.03 (0.68-1.54)
 • Q4 = 0.83 (0.56-1.23)
Sports, women
 • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • Q2 = 0.99 (0.58-1.67)
 • Q3 = 0.64 (0.32-1.27)
 • Q4 = 0.72 (0.37-1.38)

Fransson et al 2004 [228] To estimate the influence of LTPA and OPA on acute MI. • n = 4069 (2,742 men; 1,327 women) PA assessment: Questionnaire for LTPA, 5 groups  • Number of Cases: 1,204 men, 550 women Exercise seems to reduce the risk of MI.
Sweden • Sex: Men and Women G1 = Seldom OR (95% CI)
G2 = Sometimes
Case Control • Age: 45-70 yr G3 = 1×/wk LTPA, men
• Characteristics: Cases: Diagnosed with acute MI G4 = 2-3×/wk  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
D & B score = 12 G5 = >3×/wk  • G2 = 0.76 (0.61-0.95)
 • G3 = 0.67 (0.51-0.88)
 • G4 = 0.63 (0.49-0.83)
• Stockholm Heart Epidemiology Questionnaire for total physical activity, 3 groups  • G5 = 0.53 (0.38-0.73)
G1 = Passive
G2 = Somewhat active LTPA, women
G3 = Active  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
Questionnaire for sitting at work, 3 groups  • G2 = 0.69 (0.49-0.98)
 • G3 = 0.38 (0.25-0.58)
G1 = Less than half the time  • G4 = 0.62 (0.38-1.01)
G2 = About half the time  • G5 = 0.31 (0.15-0.66)
G3 = More than half the time Total physical activity, men
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.66 (0.47-0.94)
Outcome Measure: Acute MI  • G3 = 0.46 (0.31-0.69)
Total physical activity, women
Conditional and unconditional logistics regression  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.34 (0.22-0.53)
 • G3 = 0.16 (0.07-0.37)
Sitting at work, men
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.91 (0.73-1.15)
 • G3 = 0.90 (0.72-1.12)
Sitting at work, women
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.77 (0.51-1.17)
 • G3 = 0.47 (0.31-0.69)

Fransson et al 2006 [229] To evaluate whether LTPA compensates for the increased risk of acute MI associated with overweight and obesity. • n = 4069 (2,742 men; 1,327 women) PA Assessment: Questionnaire for LTPA, 3 groups Number of Cases: 1204 men, 550 women Regular LTPA seems to provide protection against MI and non- fatal MI.
Multivariate OR (95% CI) for acute MI
Sweden • Sex: Men and women G1 = Very little /occasional walks LTPA, men
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
Case Control • Age: 45-70 yr G2 = Occasional / once per week  • G2 = 0.70 (0.58-0.84)
• Characteristics: Cases: had acute MI  • G3 = 0.57 (0.46-0.71)
D & B score = 12 G3 = Twice per week or more LTPA, women
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
Outcome measure: Acute MI  • G2 = 0.52 (0.40-0.68)
 • G3 = 0.44 (0.30-0.65)
Multivariate OR (95% CI) for non-fatal MI
Conditional and unconditional logistics regression LTPA, men
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.79 (0.65-0.96)
 • G3 = 0.63 (0.50-0.79)
LTPA, women
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.64 (0.48-0.86)
 • G3 = 0.58 (0.39-0.87)

Haapanen-Niemi 2000 [230] To investigate the independent associations and the possible interaction of BMI LTPA and perceived physical performance and functional capacity with the risk of mortality. • n = 2,212 (1,090 men; 1,122 women) Length of Follow-up: 16 yrs  • Number of Cases: 208 all cause deaths, 54% of those CVD. 73% of CVD deaths due to CHD Increase perceived PF is associated with a reduced risk of CHD mortality in men.
Finland • Sex: Men and women PA assessment: Postal Survey
Multivariate RR (95% CI)
Prospective cohort • Age: 35-63 yr Total LTPA energy expenditure (kcal/wk) Total LTPA EE index and CHD mortality, men
• Characteristics:
Healthy
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
G1 = High  • G2 = 0.88 (0.44-1.76)
D & B score = 13 • Ethnicity:
Finnish
G2 = Moderate  • G3 = 1.70 (0.90-3.21)
G3 = Low p = 0.056
Perceived physical fitness compared to age-mates Multivariate RR (95% CI) Perceived physical fitness, men
G1 = Better  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
G2 = Similar  • G2 = 2.82 (1.06-7.46)
G3 = Worse  • G3 = 4.64 (1.56-13.84)
Outcome Measure: CHD mortality p = 0.011
Total LTPA EE index and CHD mortality, women
Cox proportional HR
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.43 (0.16-1.16)
 • G3 = 1.17 (0.51-2.68)
p = 0.046
Multivariate RR (95% CI) Perceived physical fitness, women
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.82 (0.32-2.16)
 • G3 = 1.89 (0.57-6.27)
p = 0.154

Kannel et al 1986 [231] To examine the role of low levels of OPA and LTPA in the development of CV morbidity and mortality over the short and long term. • n = 1,166 Length of Follow-up: 24 yrs  • Number of Cases: 220 mortality, 371 morbidity Rate of CHD Mortality and Morbidity decreases with increased level of PA but no association was found with physical demand of work
• Sex: Men
• Age: 45-65 yr
USA • Characteristics: PA assessment: Questionnaire during examination Cumulative 24 year age adjusted rate per 1000 people
Prospective cohort 24 hr PA index for LTPA CHD mortality
PA index:  • G1 = 255
D & B score = 11 G1 = <29  • G2 = 184
G2 = 30-34  • G3 = 152
G3 = >34 p < 0.01
Physical demand of work 24 hr PA index for LTPA CHD incidence
G1 = Sedentary  • G1 = 414
G2 = Light  • G2 = 353
G3 = Medium  • G3 = 311
G4 = Heavy
Outcome Measure: CHD mortality and Morbidity Physical demand of work and CHD mortality
 • G1 = 216
Cox proportional HR  • G2 = 209
 • G3 = 169
 • G4 = 170
Physical demand of work and CHD incidence:
 • G1 = 355
 • G2 = 405
 • G3 = 307
 • G4 = 325

Kaprio et al 2000 [232] To examine the contribution of genetic and other familial factors to the relationship between LTPA and CHD. • n = 8,205 Length of Follow-up: 18 yrs  • Number of Cases: 723 LTPA compared to being sedentary helps prevent CHD in men.
• Sex: Men
• Age: 25-69 yr Multivariate RR (95% CI)
Finland • Characteristics: Same sex twin pairs, free of CVD PA assessment: Questionnaire for LTPA, 3 groups:  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.84 (0.70-1.01)
Prospective cohort  • G3 = 0.68 (0.50-0.92)
G1 = Sedentary p = 0.010
G2 = Occasional
D & B score = 12 Exercisers
G3 = Conditioning
Exercisers
Outcome Measure: Hospitalization or death from CHD
Poisson regression

Lakka et al 1994 [233] To investigate the independent associations of LTPA and maximal oxygen uptake with the risk of acute MI. • n = 1,166 Baseline examination: 1984-1989 Conditioning LTPA and VO2 max had an inverse, graded and independent association with the risk
• Sex: Men
• Age: 42-61 yr Adjusted RH (95% CI) by conditioning PA level
Finland • Characteristics: Healthy with normal ECG PA assessment: Questionnaire for conditioning PA (h/wk), 3 groups (h/wk)
G1 = <0.7  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
Prospective cohort G2 = 0.7  • G2 = 1.11 (0.58-2.12)
• Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study G3 = >2.2  • G3 = 0.31(0.12-0.85)
D & B score = 13 Adjusted RG (95% CI) by VO2 max
 • G1 = 1.00
PF assessment: VO2 max (ml/kg/min)  • G2 = 0.76 (0.38-1.50)
 • G3 = 0.26 (0.10-0.68)
G1 = <28.0
G2 = 28.0-33.6
G3 = >33.6
Outcome event: acute MI
Cox proportional HR

Laukkanen at al 2004 [234] To determine whether VO2peak predicts CVD morbidity and mortality in a sample of men as related to conventional risk factors, medications or underlying chronic disease. • 1,294 healthy; 1,057 unhealthy PF Assessment: VO2 peak (ml/kg/min) measured by exercise test with an electrically braked cycle ergometer, divided into quartiles  • Number of Cases: 204 CV deaths, 323 non-fatal coronary events Dose-response relationship between directly measured PF and CVD death among healthy men at baseline.
Finland • Sex: Men Healthy men with low VO2 peak (lowest quartile) had an increased risk
• Age: 42-60 yr
Prospective cohort • Characteristics: Healthy and not healthy participants
Q1 = <27.6 Adjusted RR (95% CI) by PF quartile Fatal MI
Q2 = 27.6-32.2 Unfit men with unfavorable risk profiles are the risk group that would benefit the most from preventative measures.
D & B score = 11 Q3 = 32.3-37.1  • 3.29 (0.86-12.90)
• Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study Q4 = >37.2
Non-Fatal MI
Outcome Measure: Incidence of fatal and non fatal CVD during 13 year follow-up  • 2.16 (1.12-4.18)
Cox proportional HR

Lee at al 2000 [235] To investigate whether different durations of exercise episode are associated with different risk of CHD. • n = 7,307 Baseline survey in 1988  • Number of Cases: 482 Longer durations of PA bouts are not associated with decreased CHD risk compared with shorter bouts, once total EE is taken into account.
• Sex: Men
USA • Age: Mean 66.1 ± 7.5 PA assessment: Survey for EE (kJ/wk), divided into 5 groups and episodes of PA (min), divided into 6 groups Multivariate adjusted RR (95% CI) by EE
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
• Characteristics: Healthy  • G2 = 0.80 (0.57-1.12)
 • G3 = 0.80 (0.55-1.16)
Prospective cohort • Harvard Alumni Study  • G4 = 0.74 (0.47-1.17)
 • G5 = 0.62 (0.41-0.94)
D & B score = 12 Energy expenditure (kJ/wk) As long as the total EE is similar, more frequent shorter bouts or longer less frequent bouts have an equivalent reduction in CHD risk.
G1 = <4,200 Multivariate adjusted RR (95% CI) by duration of PA episode
G2 = 4,200-8,399
G3 = 8,400-12,599
G4 = 12,600-16,799  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
G5 = ≥ 16,800  • G2 = 1.15 (0.70-1.87)
 • G3 = 1.01 (0.68-1.51)
 • G4 = 1.11 (0.67-1.84)
Duration of PA episode (min)  • G5 = 1.18 (0.77-1.80)
G1 = None  • G6 = 1.25 (0.83-1.87)
G2 = 1-15
G3 = 16-30
G4 = 31-45
G5 = 46-60
G6 = >60
Outcome Measure: Fatal and Non Fatal CHD
Proportional hazards regression

Lee et al 2003 [236] To investigate whether moderate- intensity exercise is associated with reduced CHD. • n = 7,337 PA assessment: Survey rating usual level of exertion when exercising, divided into tertiles  • Number of Cases: 551 Inverse association between relative intensity of PA and the risk of CHD.
USA • Sex: Male Multivariate adjustment RR (95% CI)
• Age: Mean 66.1 yr  • T1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • T2 = 0.87 (0.70-1.09)
• Characteristics: Healthy  • T3 = 0.92 (0.75-1.14)
Prospective cohort Energy expenditure (kcal/wk)
Harvard Alumni Study
T1 = <1000
D & B score = 13 T2 = 1000-2499
T3 = ≥ 2500
Cox proportional HR

Lemaitre et al 1999 [237] To investigate whether regular participation in moderate intensity activity confers overall protection from sudden primary cardiac arrest. • n = 355 cases, 503 controls PA assessment: Interview (with spouses) for LTPA, 7 groups  • 355 cases Participation in moderate intensity LTPA was associated with a decreased risk of primary cardiac arrest.
• Sex: Men and women RR (95% CI)
USA G1 = No activity  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
• Age: 25-74 yr G2 = Gardening only≤ 60 min/wk  • G2 = 0.52 (0.21-1.28)
Case control • Characteristics: Previously healthy prior to primary cardiac arrest. Control Subjects: Individually matched to case patients on age (within 7 years) and sex at a ratio of about 2:1 were randomly selected from community by random-digit dialing G3 = Gardening only > 60 min/wk  • G3 = 0.34 (0.13 0.89)
G4 = Walking ≤ 60 min/wk  • G4 = 0.45 (0.17-1.19)
D & B score = 11 G5 = Walking > 60 min/wk  • G5 = 0.27 (0.11-0.67)
G6 = Moderate intensity  • G6 = 0.31 (0.13-0.74)
LTPA (not walking or gardening) G7 = 0.34 (0.16-0.75)
G7 = High intensity LTPA
Logistic regression analysis

Lemaitre et al 1995 [238] To examine whether LTPA decreases the risk of MI in postmenopausal women. • n = 1,193 PA assessment: Phone interview for LTPA, divided into quartiles of EE (mean kcal/wk)  • Number of Cases: 268 Risk of MI among postmenopausal women is decreased by 50% with modest LT energy expenditures, equivalent to 30-45 min of walking for exercise three times per week
• Sex: Women
• Age: Mean 67 yr Multivariate RR (95% CI)
USA  • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
• Characteristics: Postmenopaus al Cases: Diagnosed with non-fatal MI Controls: free from MI Q1 = 71  • Q2 = 0.52 (0.34-0.80)
Case control Q2 = 472  • Q3 = 0.40 (0.26-0.63)
Q3 = 1183  • Q4 = 0.40 (0.25-0.63)
D & B score = 11 Q4 = 3576 p = <0.001
Outcome Measure: Diagnosed with non-fatal MI
Logistic regression analysis

Li et al 2006 [239] To examine independent and joint associations of PA and adiposity with CHD incidence. • n = 88,393 Length of Follow-up: 20 yrs  • Number of Cases: 2,358 Physical inactivity independently contributes to the development of CHD in women.
• Sex: Women  • Number of Dropouts: <2% lost to follow-contributes to the development of CHD in women.
USA • Age: 34-59 yr up
• Characteristics: Nurses PA assessment: Questionnaire for LTPA (hr/wk), 3 groups
Prospective cohort Multivariate HR (95% CI)
• Nurses' Health Study  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
G1 = ≥3.5  • G2 = 1.34 (1.18-1.51)
D & B score = 12 G2 = 1-3.49  • G3 = 1.43 (1.26-1.63)
G3 = <1
Outcome Measure: CHD incidence
Cox proportional HR

Lemaitre et al 1995 [240] To evaluate the effect of PA on MI occurrence. • n = 1,107 (726 controls, 381 cases) PA assessment: Questionnaire, 3-5 groups depending on variable OR (95% CI), PA level was inversely associated with occurrence of MI in both sexes, although the association presented a significant linear trend only for women; in men it suggested a u-shaped relation.
Total PA, men
Portugal • Sex: Men and women  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
Total PA (MET hr/day), men  • G2 = 0.54 (0.33-0.88)
Case control • Age: ≥ 40 yr  • G3 = 0.34 (0.20-0.59)
• Characteristics: Case: Admitted to Hospital and diagnosed with first episode of MI Control: Healthy, no history of CHD G1 = 28.3-32.1  • G4 = 0.59 (0.36-0.98)
D & B score = 12 G2 = 32.2-33.3  • G5 = 0.90 (0.56-1.45)
G3 = 33.4-36.5 Trend p = 0.827
G4 = 36.6-40.3 Total PA, women
G5 = 40.4-83.1  • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
Total PA (MET hr/day), women  • Q2 = 0.39 (0.21-0.73)
Q1 = 28.9-32.7  • Q3 = 0.33 (0.17-0.64)
Q2 = 32.8-34.1  • Q4 = 0.22 (0.11-0.47)
Q3 = 34.2-37.8 p = <0.001
Q4 = 37.8-70.6
Sport participation, men
Sport participation (MET hr/day), men  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
G1 = 0.0  • G2 = 0.36 (0.19-0.69),
G2 = 0.1-1.0  • G3 = 0.72 (0.41-1.26),
G3 = 1.1-2.0  • G4 = 0.42 (0.23-0.76),
G4 = 2.1-3.6  • G5 = 0.31 (0.16-0.62)
G5 = 3.7-15.4 p = <0.001

Lovasi et al 2007 [241] To investigate the shape of the relationship between LTPA and MI risk. • n = 4,094 PA assessment: Telephone interview (Minnesota LTPA Questionnaire)  • Number of Cases: 697 Time engaged in LTPA, even non strenuous LTPA was associated with a lower risk of MI, and the shape of this relationship was non- linear
• Sex: Men and women Adjusted OR (95% CI)
USA • Age: 64 ± 9 yr LTPA and non fatal CHD
• Characteristics: Group Health Cooperative Members  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
Case control LTPA  • G2 = 0.88 (0.66-1.17)
G1 = None  • G3 = 0.62 (0.46-0.83)
D & B score = 11 G2 = <2  • G4 = 0.61 (0.45-0.82)
G3 = 2-5  • G5 = 0.59 (0.44-0.80)
G4 = 5-9
G5 = >9 h/wk Adjusted RR (95% CI) Strenuous LTPA and non Fatal CHD
Strenuous LTPA  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
G1 = None  • G2 = 0.76 (0.59-0.99)
G2 = non strenuous LTPA  • G3 = 0.53 (0.40-0.70)
G3 = Any Strenuous
LTPA
Outcome measure: non fatal CHD
Logistic regression

Manson et al 1999 [242] To assess the comparative roles of walking and vigorous exercise in the prevention of coronary events in women. • n = 72,488 PA assessment:  • Number of Cases: 645 coronary events Both walking and VPA are associated with a substantial reductions in incidence of CHD. Risk reductions for each were similar hen total PAy was similar. Walking 3 or more hours per week could reduce the risk of CHD by 30-40%.
• Sex: Women Questionnaire with detailed information on PA.
• Age: 40-65 yr Multivariate RR (95% CI) by total PA score
USA • Characteristics: Healthy, no Previous history of CHD  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.88 (0.71-1.10)
Prospective cohort Total PA score  • G3 = 0.81(0.64-1.02)
G1 = 1-2.0  • G4 = 0.74 (0.58-0.95)
Nurses' Health Study G2 = 2.1-4.6  • G5 = 0.66 (0.51-0.86)
D & B score = 12 G3 = 4.7-10.4 p = 0.002
G4 = 10.5-21.7
G5 = >21.7
Multivariate RR (95% CI) by walking activity
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
Walking, in those who did not participate in VPA: (MET hr/wk)  • G2 = 0.78 (0.57-1.06)
G1 = 0.5  • G3 = 0.88 (0.65-1.21)
G2 = 0.6-2.0  • G4 = 0.70 (0.51-0.95)
G3 = 2.1-3.8  • G5 = 0.65 (0.47-0.91)
G4 = 3.9-9.9 p = 0.02
G5 = ≥ 10
Multivariate RR (95% CI) by walking pace
 • 1.00 (referent)
Walking pace (mph)  • 0.75 (0.59-0.96)
G1 = <2.0  • 0.64 (0.47-0.88)
G2 = 2.0-2.9
G3 = ≥ 3.0

Mora et al 2007 [243] To investigate whether differences in several CV risk factors mediate the effect of PA on reduced risk of CVD. • n = 27,055 10.9 ± 1.6 yr of follow up  • Number of Cases: 640 There remained a borderline significant inverse association between PA and risk of CHD after adjustment for all sets of risk factors.
• Sex: Women
• Age: ≥ 45 yr PA assessment: Questionnaires at study entry for categories of EE from PA (kcal/wk), 4 groups HR (95% CI), basic model
USA • Characteristics: Healthy  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.84 (0.67-1.06)
Prospective cohort • Women's health study  • G3 = 0.76 (0.61-0.96)
 • G4 = 0.62 (0.48-0.82)
G1 = <200 p = 0.001
D & B score = 13 G2 = 200-599 While all sets of risk factors should some mediation on the effect of PA on CHD none made the relationship insignificant
G3 = 600-1499 Multivariate adjusted HR (95% CI)
G4 = ≥ 1500  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2= 0.71 (0.58-0.87)
Outcome measure:  • G3 = 0.64 (0.52-0.78)
Incidence of CVD and  • G4 = 0.48 (0.38-0.62)
p = <0.001
Cox proportional HR

O'Connor et al 1995 [244] To examine the association between intensity of exercise and CHD risk. • n = 680 (532 men and 148 women) PA assessment: Home interview for PA, divided into quartiles  • Number of Cases: 340 Significant inverse association between PA level and the risk of non fatal MI in men, which persisted after adjustment for other risk factors.
Adjusted OR (95% CI) by PA level, men
 • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
USA • Sex: Men and women Q1 = Lowest  • Q2 = 0.60 (0.32-1.13)
Q2  • Q3 = 0.41 (0.21-0.78)
Case control • Age: < 76 yr Q3  • Q4 = 0.41 (0.22-0.77)
• Characteristics: Cases: Diagnosed MI (non-fatal), no previous history of CHD. Controls: no history of CHD. Q4 = Highest p = 0.003
D & B score = 12 Outcome Measure: non-fatal MI Adjusted OR (95% CI) by PA level, women
 • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
Moderate- vigorous sports men Cut-points kcal/wk  • Q2 = 1.07 (0.27-4.17)
Q1 = Lowest  • Q3 = 2.02 (0.56-7.38)
Q2  • Q4 = 1.29 (0.31-5.35)
Q3 p = 0.51
Q4 = Highest
Adjusted OR (95% CI) by moderate-vigorous sports, men
 • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
Moderate- vigorous sports Women  • Q2 = 1.12 (0.60-2.10)
Cut-points kcal/wk  • Q3 = 0.61 (0.30-1.24)
Q1 = Lowest  • Q4 = 0.43 (0.20-0.92)
Q2 p = 0.02
Q3
Q4 = Highest Adjusted OR (95% CI) by moderate-vigorous sports, women
Logistic regression analysis  • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • Q2 = 1.31 (0.37-4.66)
 • Q3 = 1.90 (0.44-8.28)
 • Q4 = 0.35 (0.07-1.84)
p = 0.62

Rastogi et al 2004 [245] To examine the relation between PA and CHD risk in India. • n = 1,050 PA assessment: Questionnaire Number of Cases: 350 Observed a strong and dose dependent inverse association between LTPA and non fatal CHD.
• Sex: Men and women Multivariate OR (95% CI) by LTPA
USA • Age: 21-74 yr LTPA (MET min/d)  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
• Characteristics: Cases: Diagnosed with MI (non fatal) Controls: non- cardiac patients G1 = 0  • G2 = 0.96 (0.59-1.55)
Case control G2 = 0-145  • G3 = 0.44 (0.27-0.71)
D & B score = 12 G3 = ≥145 p = 0.001
Sedentary time (min/d) Multivariate OR (95% CI) by sedentary time
G1 = <70  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
G2 = 70-130  • G2 = 1.15 (0.68-1.95)
G3 = 130-215  • G3 = 1.04 (0.61-1.76)
G4 = ≥215  • G4 = 1.88 (1.09-3.21)
p = 0.02
Outcome Measure: Non-fatal MI
Conditional logistic regression

Rodriguez et al 1994 [246] To examine the relationship between PA and 23 yr incidence of CHD morbidity and mortality. • n = 7,074 23 year follow-up  • Number of Cases: 789 PA was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of CHD morbidity and mortality.
• Sex: Men
• Age: 45-64 yr PA assessment: Questionnaire for PA index, divided into tertiles Age adjusted RR (95% CI), CHD incidence
USA • Characteristics: Japanese- American living in Oahu, Hawaii in 1965, < 65 years to reduce effect of retirement on PA levels  • T1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • T2 = 1.01 (.86-1.19)
Prospective cohort T1 = Low  • T3 = 0.83 (0.86-1.19) These data support the hypothesis that PA is associated with a favorable profile of CVD risk factors.
T2 = Moderate
T3 = High Multivariate adjusted RR (95% CI), CHD incidence
D & B score = 11 Cox proportional regression model  • T1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • T2 = 1.07 (0.90-1.26) This study did not show a dose- response relationship since the medium tertile of PA showed increased rates of CHD compared to the inactive group.
• The Honolulu Heart Program  • T3 = 0.95 (0.80-1.14)
Age adjusted RR (95% CI), CHD mortality
 • T1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • T2 = 1.12 (0.88-1.44)
 • T3 = 0.74 (0.56-0.97)
Multivariate adjusted RR (95% CI)
 • T1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • T2 = 1.19 (0.93-1.53)
 • T3 = 0.85 (0.65-1.13)

Rothenbacher et al 2003 [247] To estimate the risk for CHD associated with LTPA. • n = 791 (312 cases; 479 controls) PA assessment: Interview Number of Cases: 312 LTPA showed a clear inverse association with risk of CHD.
LTPA (h/wk) Multivariate OR (95% CI), LTPA
Germany • Sex: Men and Women G1 = 0 Winter
G2 = <1  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
Case control Age: 40-68 yr G3 = 1-2  • G2 = 0.48 (0.27-0.84)
Characteristics: Cases: stable CHD diagnosed within 2 years, no recent MI, Controls: no history of CHD. G4 = >2  • G3 = 0.54 (0.369-0.82)
D & B score = 12  • G4 = 0.27 (0.19-0.47)
Workday activity by
bike/foot, (min/workday) Summer
G1 = <15  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
G2 = 15-30  • G2 = 0.85 (0.47-1.53)
G3 = 30-60  • G3 = 0.60 (0.38-0.95)
G4 = >60  • G4 = 0.39 (0.26-0.59)
Outcome Measure: non fatal CHD Multivariate OR (95% CI), workday activity by bike/foot
Unconditional logistic regression, linear regression model  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • G2 = 0.53 (0.30-0.93)
 • G3 = 0.36 (0.21-0.62)
 • G4 = 0.58 (0.36-0.94)

Seccareccia and Menotti 1992 [248] To examine the relationship between OPA and the risk of CHD death. • n = 1,621 25 year of follow-up • 189 cases Increase in OPA is inversely related to risk of CHD death.
• Sex: Men
• Age: 40-59 yr PA assessment: Questionnaire for OPA (kcal/d), 3 groups Age Standardized CHD and deaths rates:
• Characteristics: Healthy  • G1 = 18.9 ± 3.1
Italy  • G2 = 13.1 ± 1.7
G1 = Sedentary, < 2400  • G3 = 11.0 ± 0.9
Prospective cohort G2 = Moderate, 2400-3199
D & B score = 11 G3 = Heavy ≥ 3200
Indicators of PF including HR, vital capacity, FEV in 3/4 of sec, and corrected arm circumference (minus contribution of fat).
End Point: Fatal CHD

Sesso et al 2000 [249] To examine the association of the quantity and intensity of PA with CHD risk and the impact of other coronary risk factors. • n = 12,516 PA assessment: Questionnaire Number of Cases: 2,135 L-Shaped association between PA and the risk of CHD, with a reduction in CHD risk of approximately 20% for total PA levels >4200 kJ/wk
• Sex: Men
• Age: 39-88 yr Multivariate HR (95% CI)
USA • Characteristics: Healthy PA Index (kJ/wk)  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
G1 = <2100  • G2 = 0.90 (0.79-1.03)
Prospective cohort • Harvard Alumni G2 = 2100-4199  • G3 = 0.81 (0.71-0.92)
Study G3 = 4200-8399  • G4 = 0.80 (0.69-0.93)
G4 = 8400-12599  • G5 = 0.81 (0.71-0.94)
D & B score = 12 G5 = >12600 p = 0.003 Suggests that vigorous activities are associated with a reduced risk of CHD, whereas moderate or light PA has no clear association with risk of CHD.
Cox proportional HR

Sundquist et al 2005 [250] To examine the long term effect of LTPA on incident cases of CHD. • n = 5,196 (2,645 men, 2,551 women) PA assessment: Questionnaire Levels of PA Age and sex adjusted RR (95% CI) Positive long term effect of LTPA on CHD risk among men and women.
 • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
Sweden • Sex: Men and women Q1 = None  • Q2 = 0.72 (0.51-1.00)
Q2 = Occasionally  • Q3 = 0.64 (0.46-0.89)
Prospective cohort Age: 35-74 yr Q3 = 1-2 times per week  • Q4 = 0.46 (0.29-0.74)
• Characteristics: Those not hospitalized for CHD in the last 2 years and those who rate their general health as poor were excluded Q4 = Vigorous ≥2 times per week Multivariate adjusted RR (95% CI)
D & B score = 11 Outcome Measure: Fatal or non fatal CHD  • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • Q2 = 0.76 (0.55-1.07)
 • Q3 = 0.74 (0.53-1.04)
 • Q4 = 0.59 (0.37-0.95)
Cox regression model

Talbot et al 2002 [251] To examine the contributions of LTPA and aerobic fitness to the risk of coronary events in healthy younger and older adults. • n = 689 Surveys began in 1960 and were completed on every visit  • Number of Cases: 63 In younger men PF predicts a reduced risk of CHD but not LTPA.
• Sex: Men
• Age: After adjusting for coronary risk factors there was:
USA 51.6 ± 16.8 yr
• Characteristics: Community dwelling PA assessment: Survey for LTPA (97 activities) at every visit. RR: 0.53 (p < 0.001) and In older men, high intensity LTPA and PF appear to be of similar importance in reducing CHD risk.
Prospective cohort RR: 0.61 (p = 0.024) in older men.
D & B score = 12 • Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging PF assessment: Treadmill VO2 max test on alternate visits Total LTPA was unrelated to coronary risk in either age group.
With 3 levels of LTPA intensity substituted for total LTPA:
Unpaired t-tests and chi square tests. Cox Proportional hazards Analysis RR = 0.39 for tertile 3 vs. tertile 1

Tanasescu et al 2002 [252] To assess the amount, type and intensity of PA in relation to risk of CHD in men. • n = 44,452 PA assessment: Questionnaire  • Number of Cases: 1,700 Total PA, running, weight training, and walking were associated with a reduced risk for CVD.
• Sex: Men
• Age: 40-75 yr Age adjusted HR (95% CI) by total PA
USA • Characteristics: Health professionals, no history of CHD and in good health Total PA (MET hr/wk)  • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
Q1 = 0-6.32  • Q2 = 0.85 (0.74 0.98)
Prospective cohort Q2 = 6.33-14.49  • Q3 = 0.78 (0.67-0.92)
Q3 = 14.50-25.08  • Q4 = 0.72 (0.62-0.83) The average exercise intensity was associated with a reduced risk (independent of total PA).
Q4 = 25.09-41.98  • Q5 = 0.58 (0.49-0.68)
D & B score = 11 Q5 = > 41.99 p = .001
• Health Professionals follow-up study Exercise intensity (METs) Age adjusted HR (95% CI) by exercise intensity
G1 = Low-1-4  • G1 = .00 (referent)
G2 = Mod.-4-6  • G2 = 0.94 (0.83-1.04)
G3 = High 6-12
Walking pace independent of total volume of PA (mph)  • G3 = 0.83 (0.72-0.97)
p = 0.02
Q1 = <2 Age adjusted HR (95% CI) by walking pace
Q2 = 2-3  • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
Q3 = 3-4  • Q2 = 0.72 (0.54-0.94)
Q4 = > 4  • Q3 = 0.61 (0.45-0.81)
 • Q4 = 0.51 (0.31-0.84)
Outcome Measure: Nonfatal MI or Fatal CHD occurring during follow-up p <0.001
Cox proportional HR

Vatten et al 2006 [253] To investigate whether obesity- related CV mortality could be modified by PA. • n = 54,284 (27,769 men; 26,515 women) Length of Follow-up: 16 years  • Number of Cases: 2,462 Increased PA reduces the risk of death in women, but not in men.
Multivariate HR (95% CI), men
Norway • Sex: Men and women PA assessment:  • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
Questionnaire  • Q2 = 1.01 (0.89-1.16)
Prospective cohort Age: ≥ 20 yr Divided into 4 groups  • Q3 = 0.98 (0.84-1.14)
• Characteristics: Free from CVD at baseline Q1 = High  • Q4 = 1.18 (1.00-1.38)
Q2 = Medium p = 0.11
D & B score = 12 Q3 = Low
• HUNT study Q4 = Never Multivariate HR (95% CI), women
Outcome Measure: Ischemic heart disease mortality  • Q1 = 1.00 (referent)
 • Q2 = 1.23 (1.01-1.51)
 • Q3 = 1.54 (1.24-1.91)
 • Q4 = 1.52 (1.23-1.88)
Cox proportional HR p <0.001

Wagner et al 2002 [254] To investigate if the association between PA patterns and incidence of coronary events could explain the gradient in CHD observed between 2 countries. • n = 9,758 Length of Follow-up: 5 yrs Number of Cases: 167 hard CHD, 154 angina events Beneficial effect of LTPA EE on hard CHD incidence in middle aged men.
• Sex: Men and women PA assessment: Questionnaire for LTPA, 3 groups: Number of Dropouts: < 2%
Ireland/France • Age: 50-59 yr
• Characteristics: Healthy at Baseline HR (95% CI), hard events
Prospective cohort G1 = Lowest  • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
G2 = Middle  • G2 = 0.73 (0.51-1.05)
G3 = Highest  • G3 = 0.66 (0.46-0.96)
D & B score = 12 Outcome Measure: CHD hard events and Angina p = 0.04
HR (95% CI), angina
 • G1 = 1.00 (referent)
Cox proportional HR  • G2 = 0.83 (0.55-1.25)
 • G3 = 1.28 (0.88-1.86)
p = 0.10

D & B score, Downs and Black quality score; YR, years; G, groups; CHD, coronary heart disease; RR, risk ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; PA, physical activity; VPA, vigorous physical activity; CV, cardio vascular; MET, metabolic equivalent; kcal/wk, kilocalories per week; Q, quartile or quintile; km/h, kilometers per hour; LTPA, leisure-time physical activity; HR, hazard ratio; OPA, occupational physical activity; kcal/kg/day kilocalories per kilogram per day; MI, myocardial infarction; ECG, electrocardiogram; kcal/kg/h kilocalories per kilogram per hour; mph, miles per hour; CVD, cardiovascular disease.