Table 4.
Estimated Changes in Admits and Enrollees under the Null Hypothesis of “No Change” since Affirmative Action a
| Change in admits if shares of students admitted remained at affirmative action levels |
||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Texas at Austin |
Texas A & M University |
|||||||||
| No Policy Regime |
Top 10% Regime |
No Policy Regime |
Top 10% Regime |
|||||||
| Group | Af. Act. Shares | % Δ in Shares | Cost in Admits | % Δ in Shares | Cost in Admits | Af. Act. Shares | % Δ in hares | Cost in Admits | % Δ in Shares | Cost in Admits |
| Whites | .651 | 0.5 | -58 | -3.8 | 550 | .730 | 1.9 | -219 | 3.6 | -506 |
| Hispanics | .159 | -3.5 | 393 | -1.4 | 204 | .144 | -3.1 | 366 | -3.5 | 493 |
| Other | .190 | 3.0 | -335 | 5.2 | -754 | .126 | 1.2 | -147 | -0.1 | 13 |
| Totals | 1.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Change in enrollees if shares of admitted students who enrolled remained at affirmative action levels |
||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Af. Act. Shares | % Δ in Shares | Cost in Enrollees | % Δ in Shares | Cost in Enrollees | Af. Act. Shares | % Δ in Shares | Cost in Enrollees | % Δ in Shares | Cost in Enrollees |
| Whites | .664 | 0.5 | -32 | -4.1 | 354 | .782 | 2.3 | -142 | 4.0 | -340 |
| Hispanics | .150 | -2.3 | 160 | -0.6 | 51 | .125 | -2.7 | 171 | -3.1 | 271 |
| Other | .186 | 1.8 | -128 | 4.7 | -405 | .093 | 0.4 | -29 | -0.9 | 69 |
| Totals | 1.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
Note: Number of observations is 169,547 and 140,472 for UT-Austin and TAMU, respectively. Data for TAMU Exclude 2003
a
Cost in admits = (total regime admits × group specific affirmative action share) – groups’ actual admits during regime. Cost of admits is divided by 5 for UT and 4 for TAMU to obtain the yearly average during the top ten percent regime. The previous formula is repeated using the analogous information for enrollment.